BABIP, Anyone?


BABIP, Anyone?

Time to take a look at the best and worst pitchers in regards to BABIP, which stands for Batting Average on Balls In Play. We've also got ISO against in there; league average is around .150.

Here are the low BABIP guys to worry about:

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Justin Duchscherer 0.213 2.80 0.099 1.87 0.88
Gavin Floyd 0.219 1.62 0.188 3.52 1.20
Shaun Marcum 0.228 3.19 0.140 2.65 1.00
Tim Wakefield 0.230 1.81 0.154 3.69 1.16
Armando Galarraga 0.234 1.84 0.166 3.41 1.20
Cole Hamels 0.241 3.69 0.169 3.11 1.01
Joe Saunders 0.248 1.88 0.137 3.05 1.14
Scott Olsen 0.249 1.42 0.186 3.84 1.29
Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.251 1.35 0.109 2.65 1.38
Dave Bush 0.252 2.54 0.194 4.39 1.15
Ryan Dempster 0.252 2.18 0.111 3.05 1.16
Dan Haren 0.256 4.96 0.115 2.58 0.95
Justin Verlander 0.259 1.83 0.114 3.95 1.24
Adam Wainwright 0.259 3.10 0.161 3.14 1.09
Scott Feldman 0.263 1.08 0.190 4.80 1.37
Jorge Campillo 0.263 3.25 0.134 2.83 1.05
Zach Miner 0.264 0.86 0.092 3.91 1.42
Oliver Perez 0.264 1.51 0.153 4.36 1.43
Greg Smith 0.266 1.44 0.130 3.79 1.32
Matt Garza 0.267 2.27 0.120 3.68 1.20

On the other hand here are the high BABIP guys:

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Jorge De La Rosa 0.376 2.58 0.197 6.71 1.62
Kevin Millwood 0.376 2.11 0.136 5.23 1.72
Shawn Hill 0.374 1.70 0.165 5.83 1.75
Clay Buchholz 0.372 1.89 0.123 5.88 1.71
Ian Snell 0.370 1.31 0.173 5.83 1.88
Andrew Miller 0.359 1.60 0.132 5.63 1.66
Bronson Arroyo 0.350 2.31 0.213 5.71 1.59
Jeremy Sowers 0.345 1.32 0.234 7.33 1.85
Livan Hernandez 0.345 1.96 0.162 5.29 1.58
Darrell Rasner 0.344 2.56 0.172 4.97 1.51
Nate Robertson 0.344 2.34 0.176 5.69 1.54
Barry Zito 0.339 1.03 0.148 5.62 1.79
Brett Tomko 0.338 3.08 0.216 6.97 1.53
Miguel Batista 0.336 0.95 0.207 6.89 1.96
Zach Duke 0.335 1.44 0.167 4.92 1.60
Jo-Jo Reyes 0.335 1.76 0.166 4.95 1.53
Sidney Ponson 0.335 1.56 0.121 3.88 1.56
Carlos Silva 0.334 2.65 0.173 5.62 1.46
Brad Penny 0.333 1.31 0.139 5.88 1.60
Aaron Harang 0.332 3.18 0.211 4.76 1.40

Not gonna lie - there's a lot of crap in there.  Keep an eye on Buchholz though.


Full Story |  Comments (1) | Categories: BABIP, Anyone?

BABIP, Anyone?

Been a while since we looked at the winners and losers of BABIP.  Here we look at pitchers with abnormal batting averages on balls in play.  I've incorporated ISO into the chart as well.  ISO, or Isolated Power, is calculated as SLG-BA.  It is a measure of extra-base hits.  League average is right around .150 in both leagues.

The following pitchers have a BABIP below .260, and are therefore likely to see their WHIPs rise.  Be extra skeptical of those with K/BB ratios below 2.0.

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Gavin Floyd 0.209 1.63 0.186 3.39 1.12
Armando Galarraga 0.212 1.79 0.155 3.32 1.11
Shaun Marcum 0.228 3.19 0.140 2.65 1.00
Justin Duchscherer 0.229 3.06 0.084 1.91 0.91
John Lackey 0.235 4.15 0.121 1.44 0.89
J.P. Howell 0.242 2.05 0.111 3.02 1.14
Scott Olsen 0.243 1.45 0.159 3.47 1.25
Cole Hamels 0.243 3.32 0.166 3.38 1.03
Dave Bush 0.246 1.88 0.210 4.94 1.23
Joe Saunders 0.246 1.83 0.130 3.06 1.15
Tim Wakefield 0.246 1.64 0.154 3.88 1.25
Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.250 1.36 0.125 3.21 1.39
Ryan Dempster 0.250 2.10 0.119 3.26 1.18
Scott Kazmir 0.253 3.00 0.121 2.28 1.04
Matt Garza 0.253 1.90 0.128 3.76 1.21
Jeremy Guthrie 0.256 2.18 0.148 3.50 1.20
Dan Haren 0.257 5.05 0.134 2.85 0.97
Greg Reynolds 0.259 0.82 0.190 5.75 1.46
Adam Wainwright 0.259 3.10 0.161 3.14 1.09

The following pitchers have BABIPs above .340 and should see their WHIPs come down:

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Ian Snell 0.385 1.31 0.155 5.99 1.93
Shawn Hill 0.374 1.70 0.165 5.83 1.75
Bronson Arroyo 0.372 2.51 0.224 6.19 1.67
Kevin Millwood 0.359 1.94 0.142 5.08 1.67
Franquelis Osoria 0.355 2.45 0.201 6.02 1.64
Andrew Miller 0.354 1.76 0.122 5.05 1.59
Livan Hernandez 0.354 1.95 0.161 5.22 1.60
Randy Johnson 0.350 3.17 0.168 4.94 1.44
Barry Zito 0.345 0.92 0.149 5.91 1.82
Mike Pelfrey 0.344 1.17 0.110 4.47 1.65
Doug Davis 0.342 1.69 0.114 3.68 1.54
Andrew Sonnanstine 0.341 3.53 0.169 4.60 1.39
Javier Vazquez 0.341 3.25 0.181 4.49 1.39
Nate Robertson 0.341 2.36 0.175 5.23 1.52

Randy Johnson and Andy Sonnanstine look like solid buying opportunities.  You want guys with ISOs close to .150, because that means they're just giving up lucky singles.


Full Story |  Comments (4) | Categories: BABIP, Anyone?

BABIP, Anyone?

Time for another installment of everyone's favorite BABIP, Anyone? series.  Here we look at pitchers with abnormal batting averages on balls in play.  I've incorporated ISO into the chart as well.  ISO, or Isolated Power, is calculated as SLG-BA.  It is a measure of extra-base hits.  League average is right around .150 in both leagues.

The following starters have BABIPs below .260.  All else being equal, their WHIPs should rise.  Considering moving guys with K/BBs below 2.0 (with a few exceptions).

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Armando Galarraga 0.191 1.50 0.135 3.70 1.08
Gavin Floyd 0.207 1.61 0.164 3.10 1.07
Shaun Marcum 0.215 2.96 0.134 2.52 0.97
Ryan Dempster 0.221 1.83 0.109 2.90 1.13
Scott Olsen 0.223 1.21 0.170 3.44 1.25
Joe Saunders 0.237 1.86 0.110 2.63 1.09
Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.238 1.45 0.121 2.53 1.30
Cole Hamels 0.245 2.81 0.152 3.36 1.07
Scott Feldman 0.247 1.71 0.185 4.31 1.21
Jose Contreras 0.249 2.38 0.081 2.76 1.04
Dave Bush 0.251 1.67 0.249 5.85 1.33
Tim Redding 0.253 1.55 0.154 4.15 1.30
Todd Wellemeyer 0.254 2.48 0.136 2.93 1.13
Justin Duchscherer 0.255 2.71 0.073 2.32 1.01
Paul Byrd 0.256 3.25 0.199 4.46 1.19
Erik Bedard 0.256 1.86 0.157 4.26 1.30
Adam Wainwright 0.259 3.10 0.161 3.14 1.09

You have to hand it to Floyd, who owns a 20:1 K/BB over his last three starts.  He's making strides to back up his lucky start.

On the other hand, these pitchers should see their WHIPs decrease.  Their BABIPs are above .340.

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Bronson Arroyo 0.378 2.37 0.209 5.74 1.70
Andrew Miller 0.376 1.77 0.133 5.65 1.71
Ian Snell 0.374 1.56 0.139 5.65 1.80
Jarrod Washburn 0.351 2.25 0.205 6.56 1.58
Mike Pelfrey 0.351 1.07 0.131 4.65 1.71
Livan Hernandez 0.351 1.80 0.178 5.32 1.61
Barry Zito 0.349 0.88 0.165 5.83 1.87
C.C. Sabathia 0.349 2.93 0.162 4.81 1.43
Dustin McGowan 0.347 2.00 0.099 4.26 1.43
Ubaldo Jimenez 0.344 1.55 0.118 5.43 1.68
Kevin Millwood 0.343 2.22 0.131 4.65 1.57
Miguel Batista 0.342 0.91 0.170 6.06 1.91
Nick Blackburn 0.342 2.93 0.125 3.94 1.41
Andy Pettitte 0.341 2.89 0.147 4.99 1.46

Now might be the time to buy low on McGowan.


Full Story |  Comments (5) | Categories: BABIP, Anyone?

BABIP, Anyone?

Time for another installment of everyone's favorite BABIP, Anyone? series.  Here we look at pitchers with abnormal batting averages on balls in play.  I've incorporated ISO into the chart as well.  ISO, or Isolated Power, is calculated as SLG-BA.  It is a measure of extra-base hits.  League average is right around .150 in both leagues.

The following starters have BABIPs below .260.  All else being equal, their WHIPs should rise.  Considering moving guys with K/BBs below 2.0 (with a few exceptions).

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Shaun Marcum 0.173 2.95 0.153 2.80 0.87
Gavin Floyd 0.176 0.93 0.149 2.93 1.08
Armando Galarraga 0.205 1.53 0.140 3.70 1.14
Ryan Dempster 0.218 2.04 0.075 2.70 1.06
Scott Olsen 0.228 1.00 0.150 3.38 1.28
Joe Saunders 0.234 1.53 0.085 2.31 1.06
Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.236 1.39 0.122 2.40 1.32
Brandon Webb 0.247 3.29 0.082 2.69 0.98
Paul Byrd 0.247 3.29 0.181 4.10 1.14
Daniel Cabrera 0.247 1.40 0.151 3.70 1.29
Jeff Bennett 0.248 1.23 0.129 3.60 1.35
Erik Bedard 0.252 2.00 0.189 4.70 1.30
Tim Redding 0.253 1.87 0.140 3.59 1.23
Jeremy Guthrie 0.253 1.91 0.144 3.62 1.25
Jose Contreras 0.255 2.63 0.084 3.06 1.05
Todd Wellemeyer 0.255 2.41 0.148 3.36 1.13
Tim Hudson 0.255 2.80 0.110 2.97 1.05
Justin Duchscherer 0.256 3.75 0.074 2.16 0.96
Ben Sheets 0.257 4.08 0.168 2.92 1.05
Cole Hamels 0.257 2.95 0.132 3.18 1.07
Scott Feldman 0.259 1.69 0.180 4.57 1.27

There are some incredibly low WHIPs here that have no chance of lasting.

Conversely, these pitchers have BABIPs over .350 and should see their WHIPs decrease.  There are a host of solid buying opportunities here.

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Bronson Arroyo 0.383 2.50 0.185 5.68 1.65
Andrew Miller 0.382 2.20 0.137 5.33 1.66
Miguel Batista 0.379 1.13 0.175 6.47 1.97
Clay Buchholz 0.365 2.15 0.105 5.53 1.63
Ian Snell 0.355 1.58 0.138 4.84 1.70
Manny Parra 0.351 1.50 0.148 5.11 1.72
Nate Robertson 0.350 2.47 0.175 5.88 1.56
Chris Sampson 0.350 2.08 0.163 6.04 1.56
Mike Pelfrey 0.349 0.95 0.136 5.00 1.73
Paul Maholm 0.349 2.05 0.113 5.11 1.52
Kenny Rogers 0.348 0.93 0.192 6.66 1.88
Nick Blackburn 0.347 3.09 0.120 3.55 1.41
Andy Pettitte 0.346 2.94 0.111 4.27 1.44
Jarrod Washburn 0.345 2.46 0.210 6.54 1.51
Matt Chico 0.344 1.82 0.246 6.19 1.67
Jason Marquis 0.343 1.45 0.159 4.97 1.64
Jamie Moyer 0.343 1.86 0.182 4.37 1.60
C.C. Sabathia 0.342 2.80 0.169 4.74 1.43
Barry Zito 0.341 0.96 0.153 5.65 1.80
Randy Johnson 0.341 3.92 0.183 4.03 1.32

I wouldn't say that all of these pitchers will come around, but most should get better.  Many are already on their way, like Sabathia, Arroyo, and Miller.


Full Story |  Comments (0) | Categories: BABIP, Anyone?

BABIP, Anyone?

Time for another installment of everyone's favorite BABIP, Anyone? series.  Here we look at pitchers with abnormal batting averages on balls in play.  I've incorporated ISO into the chart as well.  ISO, or Isolated Power, is calculated as SLG-BA.  It is a measure of extra-base hits.  League average is right around .150 in both leagues.

The following starters have BABIPs below .240.  All else being equal, their WHIPs should rise.  Considering moving guys with K/BBs below 2.0 (with a few exceptions).

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Erik Bedard 0.184 1.79 0.138 1.99 1.07
Shaun Marcum 0.185 2.75 0.139 2.59 0.90
Gavin Floyd 0.189 0.95 0.172 3.32 1.13
Ryan Dempster 0.195 1.57 0.070 2.76 1.06
Scott Olsen 0.196 1.14 0.124 2.63 1.08
Renyel Pinto 0.197 1.33 0.048 0.70 1.01
Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.205 1.33 0.109 2.45 1.22
Armando Galarraga 0.205 2.33 0.159 3.07 0.99
Cliff Lee 0.212 19.50 0.046 0.81 0.60
Daniel Cabrera 0.221 1.42 0.124 3.54 1.20
Matt Albers 0.228 1.63 0.032 2.39 1.03
Ben Sheets 0.228 3.17 0.130 2.53 0.97
Adam Wainwright 0.230 3.00 0.138 2.25 0.96
Tim Redding 0.231 1.67 0.145 3.83 1.19
Greg Smith 0.235 2.33 0.138 3.00 1.07
Brandon Webb 0.238 2.56 0.064 2.41 1.00
Zack Greinke 0.239 3.00 0.142 1.80 1.02

Conversely, these pitchers have BABIPs over .350 and should see their WHIPs decrease.  There are a host of solid buying opportunities here.

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Andrew Miller 0.397 1.81 0.164 6.52 1.81
Dustin Moseley 0.396 1.75 0.205 7.85 1.92
Bronson Arroyo 0.383 2.53 0.235 7.14 1.71
C.C. Sabathia 0.379 2.30 0.185 6.55 1.68
Miguel Batista 0.373 1.19 0.119 5.58 1.88
Chad Billingsley 0.371 2.09 0.122 4.89 1.58
Mike Pelfrey 0.371 0.93 0.120 4.86 1.83
Matt Chico 0.366 1.69 0.212 6.42 1.75
Jason Marquis 0.364 1.40 0.157 5.08 1.72
Manny Parra 0.363 1.30 0.144 5.79 1.87
Edgar G Gonzalez 0.362 1.00 0.171 6.60 1.87
Chris Sampson 0.361 1.67 0.162 6.27 1.64
Ubaldo Jimenez 0.358 1.36 0.112 5.53 1.82
Mark Buehrle 0.353 2.45 0.156 5.31 1.49
Nick Blackburn 0.351 2.50 0.106 3.93 1.43


Full Story |  Comments (1) | Categories: BABIP, Anyone?

BABIP, Anyone?

Time for another installment of everyone's favorite BABIP, Anyone? series.  Here we look at pitchers with abnormal batting averages on balls in play.  I've incorporated ISO into the chart as well.  ISO, or Isolated Power, is calculated as SLG-BA.  It is a measure of extra-base hits.  League average is right around .150 in both leagues.

The following starters have BABIPs below .240.  All else being equal, their WHIPs should rise. Consider moving those with K/BBs below 2.0.

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Gavin Floyd 0.169 1.00 0.167 3.16 1.09
Ben Sheets 0.176 2.36 0.089 1.64 0.85
Shaun Marcum 0.187 2.17 0.189 3.24 1.02
Ryan Dempster 0.194 1.16 0.071 3.16 1.11
Cliff Lee 0.194 16.00 0.048 0.96 0.56
Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.195 1.68 0.139 2.52 1.09
Scott Olsen 0.208 1.00 0.104 2.70 1.13
Tim Redding 0.216 1.57 0.154 3.55 1.18
Johan Santana 0.216 4.88 0.176 3.12 0.92
Joe Saunders 0.217 2.00 0.086 2.08 0.95
Micah Owings 0.222 3.11 0.168 3.48 1.00
Daniel Cabrera 0.223 1.00 0.165 4.14 1.41
Greg Smith 0.231 1.91 0.104 2.73 1.06
John Danks 0.233 2.86 0.037 2.70 0.93
Jair Jurrjens 0.234 2.15 0.093 3.05 1.04
Cole Hamels 0.235 2.57 0.138 2.70 1.06
Jake Peavy 0.236 2.71 0.135 2.09 1.00
Brian Bannister 0.239 2.63 0.119 4.04 1.07

And here's the flip side, your possible buy low opportunities with BABIPs over .350.  I like Billingsley, Burnett, Buehrle,  Listch, and maybe Blackburn as buys.  I'm kind of hesitant to recommend Blackburn, but you can't deny that he's been hurt by giving up a disproportionate number of singles.

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Andrew Miller 0.479 1.38 0.191 9.12 2.38
Chad Billingsley 0.391 2.35 0.123 5.20 1.59
Bronson Arroyo 0.383 2.42 0.246 6.97 1.77
Tim Lincecum 0.374 2.67 0.083 1.73 1.38
C.C. Sabathia 0.370 1.94 0.221 7.88 1.78
Dustin Moseley 0.368 1.58 0.191 6.75 1.80
Mark Buehrle 0.368 2.00 0.149 5.65 1.60
Jesse Litsch 0.366 2.86 0.162 4.85 1.54
Zach Duke 0.365 1.13 0.128 5.34 1.78
Miguel Batista 0.360 1.20 0.086 5.26 1.83
Matt Chico 0.360 1.83 0.219 6.68 1.67
Jason Marquis 0.359 1.70 0.179 4.45 1.62
Nick Blackburn 0.357 3.17 0.101 3.52 1.38
Brett Tomko 0.354 1.56 0.130 6.26 1.68
A.J. Burnett 0.354 1.27 0.150 6.07 1.75


Full Story |  Comments (8) | Categories: BABIP, Anyone?

BABIP, Anyone?

Time for another installment of everyone's favorite BABIP, Anyone? series.  Here we look at pitchers with abnormal batting averages on balls in play.  I've incorporated ISO into the chart as well.  ISO, or Isolated Power, is calculated as SLG-BA.  It is a measure of extra-base hits.  League average is right around .150 in both leagues.

The following players have BABIPs below .230; expect their WHIPs to get worse.  Floyd, Dempster, and Jackson appear to be sell-high candidates.

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Gavin Floyd 0.135 1.25 0.109 1.40 0.88
Cliff Lee 0.154 10.00 0.028 0.40 0.44
Ryan Dempster 0.160 1.44 0.063 2.37 0.95
Nelson Figueroa 0.162 2.80 0.115 3.60 0.80
Brandon Webb 0.177 2.75 0.069 1.86 0.79
Ben Sheets 0.183 6.00 0.073 0.96 0.64
Johnny Cueto 0.184 24.00 0.212 3.72 0.62
Shaun Marcum 0.192 4.00 0.173 2.61 0.87
Joe Saunders 0.195 2.00 0.098 2.15 0.89
Edwin Jackson 0.196 1.40 0.076 2.84 1.11
Micah Owings 0.208 3.80 0.159 2.29 0.86
Scott Baker 0.208 4.00 0.268 4.34 1.07
Randy Wolf 0.209 2.57 0.081 1.42 0.89
Cole Hamels 0.212 1.90 0.095 1.86 1.00
Scott Olsen 0.215 1.67 0.091 3.05 1.06
Johan Santana 0.217 7.00 0.186 3.25 0.87
Zack Greinke 0.219 1.80 0.096 0.75 0.92
Dan Haren 0.221 4.75 0.122 1.80 0.88
Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.221 1.65 0.162 3.14 1.22
Shawn Chacon 0.222 1.10 0.091 2.25 1.15
Justin Germano 0.224 1.20 0.055 1.35 1.00
Tim Redding 0.226 1.89 0.159 3.27 1.18

The following pitchers have BABIPs of .360 or higher, and should see their WHIPs go down as their luck evens out.  In the cases of Lincecum, McGowan, Hughes, and Duke, the hits dropping in have been singles (low ISOs).

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Andrew Miller 0.500 2.00 0.237 9.68 2.21
John Bale 0.453 2.67 0.129 7.63 1.83
Tim Lincecum 0.436 3.67 0.082 2.25 1.44
C.C. Sabathia 0.429 1.00 0.305 13.50 2.56
Dustin McGowan 0.426 2.29 0.094 3.71 1.65
Philip Hughes 0.417 1.00 0.086 8.82 2.14
Paul Maholm 0.396 2.60 0.156 5.28 1.76
Dustin Moseley 0.388 1.25 0.210 7.80 2.00
Jonathan Sanchez 0.378 3.50 0.117 6.00 1.47
A.J. Burnett 0.377 1.50 0.208 7.27 1.79
Roy Oswalt 0.375 4.00 0.248 6.65 1.70
Nate Robertson 0.373 3.20 0.217 7.02 1.56
Mark Buehrle 0.368 1.50 0.154 5.74 1.72
Carlos Villanueva 0.364 1.43 0.221 6.19 1.88
Zach Duke 0.361 1.75 0.076 2.89 1.61
Ubaldo Jimenez 0.360 1.00 0.111 4.60 1.98
Jesse Litsch 0.360 2.40 0.172 4.60 1.60


Full Story |  Comments (8) | Categories: BABIP, Anyone?

BABIP, Anyone?

It's too early to do this, but I will anyway.  Here are the pitchers who, after a couple of starts, have BABIPs below .200.  This obviously cannot keep up, and their WHIPs will rise.

NAME ERA BABIP
Jake Peavy 0.56 0.125
Ryan Dempster 0.69 0.125
Daisuke Matsuzaka 1.47 0.162
Greg Maddux 2.77 0.162
Joe Saunders 0.56 0.167
Johnny Cueto 2.03 0.167
Erik Bedard 3.27 0.172
Aaron Cook 3.46 0.175
Justin Germano 0.00 0.175
Edwin Jackson 0.64 0.179
Ben Sheets 0.00 0.189
Brandon Webb 2.08 0.194
Tim Redding 0.82 0.194

On the flip side, these guys have BABIPs over .390 and will see their WHIPs improve, all else held equal.

NAME ERA BABIP
Nate Robertson 7.84 0.438
Jonathan Sanchez 6.30 0.429
Roy Oswalt 6.00 0.426
Tim Lincecum 1.80 0.407
Jason Bergmann 10.45 0.406
Brad Thompson 2.53 0.400
John Bale 5.84 0.395
Dustin McGowan 3.27 0.393
Zach Duke 2.13 0.391

 


Full Story |  Comments (2) | Categories: BABIP, Anyone?



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