« The Proof Is In The Peripherals: April 11-17 | Main | RotoAuthority Unscripted: Ow! Ow! Ow! »

RotoAuthority League Update: Early Surprises

The RotoAuthority League is a highly competitive 12-team fantasy baseball league run by Tim Dierkes. The settings consist of standard 5 X 5 Rotisserie scoring and 23-man lineups along with 4 bench spots. In an effort to keep owners interested as well as to infuse new blood into the league, the teams that finish below 8th place are kicked out of the league each year. The author of this column just hopes he isn't one of them.

We hear it all the time, but it’s worthy of repetition: the MLB season is a marathon, not a sprint. We’re just finishing up the first couple miles on this marathon, yet many fantasy owners respond to the first weeks as if they mean something. In reality, though, we’ve learned hardly anything at this point. Indeed, the best course of action for a fantasy owner in early April is probably no action at all.

Having said that, now may be the time to speculate on players off to fast starts while their market prices are down. If these players prove to be for real, the asking price of their owners will never be lower. With the Buy Low/Sell High mantra on the minds of most fantasy owners, Buying High may be the optimal route for a true heist today. Just ask anyone who traded for Jose Fernandez last April. Let's take a look at a few interesting names among the top 25 on the ESPN Player Rater and see if any may be for real.

The Bombers - Dee Gordon (2)

Yes, believe it or not, only Giancarlo Stanton has been more valuable than Gordon entering play Monday. It doesn't hurt that he stole four bases yesterday. That now gives him nine on the season, or three times the output of Billy Hamilton. Will it be Gordon, not Hamilton, who dominates the SB category this season? I still don't think Gordon can hit, so I wouldn't count on a positive contribution in the AVG category. Still, the Dodgers seem set on giving him everyday playing time. Given his speed, Gordon will certainly rank among the leaders in the SB column. That's not too bad for a Round 18 pick out of the Bombers.

Guitar Masahiro - Charlie Blackmon (10) 

Coors Field truly does wonders for the stock of hitters in fantasy. It's gotten to the point that if you know a player is going to get consistent at-bats for the Rockies, you might as well speculate on him. Blackmon appears to be on the better side of a platoon in center field and has made the most of time thus far, hitting an absurd .488. Blackmon should be able to make enough contact to continue to provide a positive contribution in AVG.  Hitting atop the order will also help him in the runs category even if it he's not in the lineup everyday. My concerns would be that he lacks the tools to produce much in power and speed. Even so, the park effects of Coors Field cannot be overstated. Accordingly, this is a Mixed League outfielder whom I'd rank among the top 50 at the position going forward. At this point, no pickup has been more valuable than this one by Guitar Masahiro.

Men With Wood - Emilio Bonifacio (11)

Few players possess such a wide discrepancy between real value and fantasy worth than does Bonifacio. This is a fringy MLB player who probably should be no more than a bench player at this stage in his career. Then again, if the Cubs are going to give him playing time, the speed will play in today's Roto game. Men With Wood took Bonifacio in the last round of our draft; given that our league allows for daily lineup changes, that pick looks quite clever in retrospect. After all, Bonifacio is eligible at 2b, 3B, and OF in Yahoo leagues, so Men With Wood can plug the speedy utility player into his lineup if any of his regular starters are getting a day of rest. If you can find an owner in your league who thinks Bonifacio is for real, I'd sell as soon as possible; after all, the Cubs are likely to see what players like Javier Baez and Kris Bryant are made of after the All-Star break. Still, this is a valuable option in the short term.

Cobra Kai -Brian Dozier (14)

Out of all these names, Dozier just might be the most legitimate. It speaks to just how early we are in this season that the Twins second baseman can be hitting .191 yet still rank among the top 15 overall on the ESPN Player Rater. Much of that has to do with the fact that other than Alexei Ramirez, Dozier is the only player with at least three HR and three SB. At this point, however, I think it's safe to say that this is what we should expect out of him. After all, he did have 18 HR and 14 SB over 147 games last year. The AVG won't be pretty, but a middle infielder who's a rather safe bet to go 15 / 15 is valuable today. It's safe to say Cobra Kai will return a profit on this Round 22 pick.

Guitar Masahiro - Adam Eaton

Another wise selection by Guitar Masahiro, Eaton may also hold staying power. Few players were as popular on sleeper lists last spring. Unfortunately, fantasy owners were left waiting and waiting for the outfielder to return from injury. This spring, Eaton didn't get quite the buzz, perhaps due to the crowded White Sox outfield. Well, he's clearly the guy in center field for the Pale Hose. Like Coors Field, U.S. Cellular Park can significantly boost the fantasy worth of hitters. The team may not be great, but the offense should be fine. If Eaton can approach double-digits in HR and SB, he'll provide enough value in AVG and runs to continue to be a Mixed League option. Like Blackmon, this looks like roughly a top-50 outfielder going forward who shouldn't be on any waiver wires at this point.




Site Map     Contact     About     Advertise     Privacy Policy     MLB Trade Rumors     Rss Feed