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Go Bold or Go Home: Murphy's Mock Draft

Last week, RotoAuthority held a writer-reader mock draft. If you were part of it, then you know that just about everything went wrong that could have that night...but you also know that we surged boldly forward and ended up having a successful, competitive mock. Thanks, by the way, to everyone that drafted with us.

We did our mock in the same format as the RotoAuthority and Silver Leagues: 26 rounds, 5x5 categories and these relatively standard positions:

C, C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, CI, MI, OF, OF, OF, OF, OF, DH, SP, SP, RP, RP, P, P, P, P, P, Bench, Bench, Bench

Tim Dierkes drafted 12th, and I was in the cleanup spot. Below the fold is the round by round, with a little commentary on good and bad picks, and whatever else springs to mind.

If you drafted with us, feel more than free to leave a comment with your thoughts. Especially if you disagree with mine!

1 Miguel Cabrera, Det 3B Team Rick
2 Ryan Braun, Mil OF Team Kantecki
3 Mike Trout, LAA OF Team Geckle
4 Albert Pujols, LAA 1B   Steers McCrum
5 Robinson Cano, NYY 2B Team Max
6 Carlos Gonzalez, Col OF Team Max Kim
7 Andrew McCutchen, Pit OF Team Polishuk
8 Matt Kemp, LAD OF Team Desmond
9 Prince Fielder, Det 1B Syracuse Stars
10 Troy Tulowitzki, Col SS Team WILSON
11 Joey Votto, Cin 1B Team Kas
12 Giancarlo Stanton, Mia OF Team Dierkes


In the fourth slot, I was very torn between Pujols and Cano. Either way, there won't be any elite options in the 2nd round at those positions. In retrospect, I think I lean Cano, but it's close. It seems to me that Tulowitzki is a reach there--I mean, he'll probably still be available by the third pick of the 2nd. Stanton was a bold move, but he totally merits 1st round consideration.

13 Buster Posey, SF C Team Dierkes
14 Justin Upton, Atl OF Team Kas
15 Justin Verlander, Det SP Team WILSON
16 Clayton Kershaw, LAD SP Syracuse Stars
17 Adrian Beltre, Tex 3B Team Desmond
18 Evan Longoria, TB 3B Team Polishuk
19 Jose Reyes, Tor SS Team Max Kim
20 Jose Bautista, Tor OF Team Max
21 Stephen Strasburg, Wsh SP   Steers McCrum
22 Felix Hernandez, Sea SP Team Geckle
23 Hanley Ramirez, LAD 3B Team Kantecki
24 Adrian Gonzalez, LAD 1B Team Rick

After talking up Strasburg as a 1st rounder, I didn't have much choice to put my money where my mouth is in round two. Also, Jose Bautista is great value at 20th overall, while Justin Upton 14th is setting yourself up for disappointment.

25 David Price, TB SP Team Rick
26 Jason Heyward, Atl OF Team Kantecki
27 Matt Cain, SF SP Team Geckle
28 Bryce Harper, Wsh OF   Steers McCrum
29 David Wright, NYM 3B Team Max
30 Josh Hamilton, LAA OF Team Max Kim
31 Cole Hamels, Phi SP Team Polishuk
32 Cliff Lee, Phi SP Team Desmond
33 Adam Jones, Bal OF Syracuse Stars
34 Dustin Pedroia, Bos 2B Team WILSON
35 Ian Kinsler, Tex 2B Team Kas
36 Edwin Encarnacion, Tor 1B Team Dierkes


I surprised myself with Harper here. When I don't like someone in their ADP slot (2nd round, for Harper), I don't expect to land them on my team. In this round, I think Cain and Hamilton are reaches, but Encarnacion and Lee should prove to be good investments.

37 Zack Greinke, LAD SP Team Dierkes
38 Starlin Castro, ChC SS Team Kas
39 Jay Bruce, Cin OF Team WILSON
40 Jered Weaver, LAA SP Syracuse Stars
41 Billy Butler, KC 1B Team Desmond
42 Craig Kimbrel, Atl RP Team Polishuk
43 Chase Headley, SD 3B Team Max Kim
44 Jacoby Ellsbury, Bos OF Team Max
45 Ben Zobrist, TB OF   Steers McCrum
46 B.J. Upton, Atl OF Team Geckle
47 Brandon Phillips, Cin 2B Team Kantecki
48 Michael Bourn, Cle OF Team Rick

Kimbrel is a great investment in the 4th round, but I'm not ready for the risk on Headley. I paid a premium for Zobrist, but his production and flexibility make him one of my prime targets each year. This is too early for someone like Bourn, who does little but steal bases.

49 Yoenis Cespedes, Oak OF Team Rick
50 Yu Darvish, Tex SP Team Kantecki
51 Yadier Molina, StL C Team Geckle
52 Matt Holliday, StL OF   Steers McCrum
53 Adam Wainwright, StL SP Team Max
54 Ryan Zimmerman, Wsh 3B Team Max Kim
55 Ian Desmond, Wsh SS Team Polishuk
56 Gio Gonzalez, Wsh SP Team Desmond
57 Madison Bumgarner, SF SP Syracuse Stars
58 Brett Lawrie, Tor 3B Team WILSON
59 Matt Wieters, Bal C Team Kas
60 Pablo Sandoval, SF 3B Team Dierkes

I was very excited to snag Holliday in the 5th. Zimmerman and Desmond were smart grabs too, especially when compared to reach picks for Lawrie and Sandoval.

61 Aaron Hill, Ari 2B Team Dierkes
62 R.A. Dickey, Tor SP Team Kas
63 Joe Mauer, Min C Team WILSON
64 Allen Craig, StL 1B Syracuse Stars
65 Austin Jackson, Det OF Team Desmond
66 Carlos Santana, Cle C Team Polishuk
67 Paul Goldschmidt, Ari 1B Team Max Kim
68 Desmond Jennings, TB OF Team Max
69 Aramis Ramirez, Mil 3B   Steers McCrum
70 Jason Kipnis, Cle 2B Team Geckle
71 Jimmy Rollins, Phi SS Team Kantecki
72 CC Sabathia, NYY SP Team Rick

Tim stole Hill out from under me, but I wasn't disappointed to land Aramis. Goldschmidt lasted long enough to be a pretty good deal. CC Sabathia should prove to be a great choice in this round.

73 Johnny Cueto, Cin SP Team Rick
74 Freddie Freeman, Atl 1B Team Kantecki
75 Martin Prado, Ari OF Team Geckle
76 Roy Halladay, Phi SP   Steers McCrum
77 Chris Sale, CWS SP Team Max
78 Aroldis Chapman, Cin SP Team Max Kim
79 Alex Gordon, KC OF Team Polishuk
80 Mat Latos, Cin SP Team Desmond
81 Victor Martinez, Det C Syracuse Stars
82 Mark Teixeira, NYY 1B Team WILSON
83 Jordan Zimmermann, Wsh SP Team Kas
84 Max Scherzer, Det SP Team Dierkes

I was excited to nab Halladay in the 7th. This part of the draft gets a little rocky to me, as a lot of the picks look like they should be better, even though the elite players are actually gone. With the depth at catcher, I think this is way too early for V-Mart.

85 Shin-Soo Choo, Cin OF Team Dierkes
86 Alex Rios, CWS OF Team Kas
87 James Shields, KC SP Team WILSON
88 Kris Medlen, Atl SP Syracuse Stars
89 Elvis Andrus, Tex SS Team Desmond
90 Asdrubal Cabrera, Cle SS Team Polishuk
91 Jose Altuve, Hou 2B Team Max Kim
92 Ike Davis, NYM 1B Team Max
93 Jonathan Papelbon, Phi RP   Steers McCrum
94 Melky Cabrera, Tor OF Team Geckle
95 Matt Moore, TB SP Team Kantecki
96 Chase Utley, Phi 2B Team Rick

This group was slow to take relievers, which I respect. I grabbed Papelbon partly because nobody else was really catching my interest. Utley is a really bold choice here, but I think he could have been waited on a bit longer. Shields and Choo seem like particularly good value here.

97 Andre Ethier, LAD OF Team Rick
98 Jason Motte, StL RP Team Kantecki
99 Eric Hosmer, KC 1B Team Geckle
100 Anthony Rizzo, ChC 1B   Steers McCrum
101 David Ortiz, Bos DH Team Max
102 Curtis Granderson, NYY OF Team Max Kim
103 Yovani Gallardo, Mil SP Team Polishuk
104 Mark Trumbo, LAA OF Team Desmond
105 Josh Willingham, Min OF Syracuse Stars
106 Carlos Gomez, Mil OF Team WILSON
107 Rafael Soriano, Wsh RP Team Kas
108 Tim Lincecum, SF SP Team Dierkes

Anthony Rizzo looks like a pretty good target at this point; he seems to be going a lot earlier in many drafts. Ditto for Trumbo and Willingham. Gomez is a puzzling choice to me: I really like him, but not 9th round like him. I wouldn't have expected Gallardo to last this long, or Lincecum to go this early. If Granderson comes back without problems, this could be great value for an elite power hitter.

109 Nelson Cruz, Tex OF Team Dierkes
110 Fernando Rodney, TB RP Team Kas
111 Mariano Rivera, NYY RP Team WILSON
112 Carlos Beltran, StL OF Syracuse Stars
113 Neil Walker, Pit 2B Team Desmond
114 David Freese, StL 3B Team Polishuk
115 Salvador Perez, KC C Team Max Kim
116 Jonathon Niese, NYM SP Team Max
117 Nick Swisher, Cle OF   Steers McCrum
118 Brandon Morrow, Tor SP Team Geckle
119 Hunter Pence, SF OF Team Kantecki
120 Rickie Weeks, Mil 2B Team Rick

There's almost literally nothing special about Swisher in the 10th. He's dependable, and my offense needed some dependability. Beltran and Rivera were who I really wanted here.

121 Jim Johnson, Bal RP Team Rick
122 Jesus Montero, Sea C Team Kantecki
123 Erick Aybar, LAA SS Team Geckle
124 Wilin Rosario, Col C   Steers McCrum
125 Alcides Escobar, KC SS Team Max
126 J.J. Putz, Ari RP Team Max Kim
127 Howard Kendrick, LAA 2B Team Polishuk
128 Josh Johnson, Tor SP Team Desmond
129 Shane Victorino, Bos OF Syracuse Stars
130 Danny Espinosa, Wsh 2B Team WILSON
131 Doug Fister, Det SP Team Kas
132 Jeff Samardzija, ChC SP Team Dierkes

Catchers were coming off the board slowly, but I couldn't take the chance that anyone else left the draft with Wilin Rosario. Samardzija and Espinosa could be great picks here. 

133 Mike Napoli, Bos C Team Dierkes
134 Ian Kennedy, Ari SP Team Kas
135 Paul Konerko, CWS 1B Team WILSON
136 Derek Jeter, NYY SS Syracuse Stars
137 Miguel Montero, Ari C Team Desmond
138 Chris Davis, Bal 1B Team Polishuk
139 Marco Estrada, Mil SP Team Max Kim
140 Ryan Howard, Phi 1B Team Max
141 Jake Peavy, CWS SP   Steers McCrum
142 Joel Hanrahan, Bos RP Team Geckle
143 Joe Nathan, Tex RP Team Kantecki
144 Michael Morse, Sea OF Team Rick

Maybe I'm channeling three years ago, but I was stoked to make Peavy my third starter this late in the draft. I think Hanrahan will be a big disappointment, but Nathan was a high-quality choice. Also, I found the only person in the world more excited about Marco Estrada than I am. I was sure he'd still be there in another round or two. 

145 Ryan Doumit, Min C Team Rick
146 Matt Harvey, NYM SP Team Kantecki
147 Adam LaRoche, Wsh 1B Team Geckle
148 Brian McCann, Atl C   Steers McCrum
149 Jonathan Lucroy, Mil C Team Max
150 Dan Haren, Wsh SP Team Max Kim
151 Torii Hunter, Det OF Team Polishuk
152 Angel Pagan, SF OF Team Desmond
153 Andrelton Simmons, Atl SS Syracuse Stars
154 Jon Lester, Bos SP Team WILSON
155 Hiroki Kuroda, NYY SP Team Kas
156 Lance Lynn, StL SP Team Dierkes

I reached a little for McCann, but I don't regret it: my strategy has been to get both catchers taken care of mid-draft. If I have to wait a month for McCann, I can afford it, since he's only my number two guy. LaRoche was a great choice, as the best hitter left in the draft, but I think Simmons went way too early. His upside just isn't all that high. 

157 Michael Cuddyer, Col OF Team Dierkes
158 Anibal Sanchez, Det SP Team Kas
159 Carl Crawford, LAD OF Team WILSON
160 Brett Gardner, NYY OF Syracuse Stars
161 John Axford, Mil RP Team Desmond
162 Greg Holland, KC RP Team Polishuk
163 Sergio Romo, SF RP Team Max Kim
164 Huston Street, SD RP Team Max
165 Jason Grilli, Pit RP   Steers McCrum
166 Jarrod Parker, Oak SP Team Geckle
167 Addison Reed, CWS RP Team Kantecki
168 Josh Reddick, Oak OF Team Rick

Closer run! I was happy to have Grilli, who pitched better than all but two or three closers last year. I had been hoping to nab Reddick for his power in the very next round. Sanchez was a good choice here too; I think he's a step ahead of the other available players.

169 Brett Anderson, Oak SP Team Rick
170 Mike Moustakas, KC 3B Team Kantecki
171 Alejandro De Aza, CWS OF Team Geckle
172 Mike Minor, Atl SP   Steers McCrum
173 C.J. Wilson, LAA SP Team Max
174 Rafael Betancourt, Col RP Team Max Kim
175 Matt Harrison, Tex SP Team Polishuk
176 Pedro Alvarez, Pit 3B Team Desmond
177 Chris Perez, Cle RP Syracuse Stars
178 Jason Kubel, Ari OF Team WILSON
179 Ben Revere, Phi OF Team Kas
180 Nick Markakis, Bal OF Team Dierkes

I wasn't excited about Minor, but I think he'll be a boon to my pitching staff. Revere and Kubel could be good value here.

181 Jonathan Broxton, Cin RP Team Dierkes
182 Dexter Fowler, Col OF Team Kas
183 Grant Balfour, Oak RP Team WILSON
184 Jurickson Profar, Tex 2B Syracuse Stars
185 Jeremy Hellickson, TB SP Team Desmond
186 Todd Frazier, Cin 3B Team Polishuk
187 Norichika Aoki, Mil OF Team Max Kim
188 Jayson Werth, Wsh OF Team Max
189 Dan Uggla, Atl 2B   Steers McCrum
190 J.J. Hardy, Bal SS Team Geckle
191 Homer Bailey, Cin SP Team Kantecki
192 Tom Wilhelmsen, Sea RP Team Rick

At this point, I'm hoping that Uggla can get just a little BABIP love and hold onto the power for another year. We'll see. Todd Frazier is a great choice this late--that's who I really wanted to take.

193 A.J. Pierzynski, Tex C Team Rick
194 Alfonso Soriano, ChC OF Team Kantecki
195 Manny Machado, Bal 3B Team Geckle
196 Everth Cabrera, SD SS   Steers McCrum
197 Glen Perkins, Min RP Team Max
198 Steve Cishek, Mia RP Team Max Kim
199 Kenley Jansen, LAD RP Team Polishuk
200 Casey Janssen, Tor RP Team Desmond
201 Wade Miley, Ari SP Syracuse Stars
202 Carlos Ruiz, Phi C Team WILSON
203 Kyle Seager, Sea 3B Team Kas
204 Alexei Ramirez, CWS SS Team Dierkes

I reached on Cabrera, and reached big, but his high SB potential was the only upside left at MI. Miley looks like great value, strikeouts or not. Soriano is a nice late power play, and Seager could be a nice pickup too.

205 Brandon League, LAD RP Team Dierkes
206 Tim Hudson, Atl SP Team Kas
207 Ernesto Frieri, LAA RP Team WILSON
208 Ryan Vogelsong, SF SP Syracuse Stars
209 Kendrys Morales, Sea 1B Team Desmond
210 Colby Rasmus, Tor OF Team Polishuk
211 Josh Rutledge, Col SS Team Max Kim
212 Trevor Cahill, Ari SP Team Max
213 Ichiro Suzuki, NYY OF   Steers McCrum
214 Bruce Rondon, Det RP Team Geckle
215 Justin Morneau, Min 1B Team Kantecki
216 Jed Lowrie, Oak SS Team Rick

Even with Cabrera, I felt light on speed; Ichiro cured that. Rutledge ought to be a nice bargain here. Any of League, Frieri, and Rondon might pay off well...or they might not. If Lowrie is healthy and playing, then he could be value here. But that's a big if.

217 Michael Young, Phi 1B Team Rick
218 Emilio Bonifacio, Tor OF Team Kantecki
219 Dayan Viciedo, CWS OF Team Geckle
220 Lance Berkman, Tex 1B   Steers McCrum
221 Denard Span, Wsh OF Team Max
222 Alex Avila, Det C Team Max Kim
223 David Murphy, Tex OF Team Polishuk
224 Marco Scutaro, SF 2B Team Desmond
225 Joaquin Benoit, Det RP Syracuse Stars
226 Corey Hart, Mil 1B Team WILSON
227 Coco Crisp, Oak OF Team Kas
228 Jean Segura, Mil SS Team Dierkes

Berkman's a big risk as my starting DH, but in the 19th round, how could I say no? A lot of filling out the roster here, though Hart is an interesting risk. If he's quick coming back, this could be a huge value. If he comes back slowly, this could be a wasted pick.

229 Lorenzo Cain, KC OF Team Dierkes
230 Will Middlebrooks, Bos 3B Team Kas
231 Derek Holland, Tex SP Team WILSON
232 Kevin Youkilis, NYY 3B Syracuse Stars
233 Jaime Garcia, StL SP Team Desmond
234 A.J. Burnett, Pit SP Team Polishuk
235 Justin Ruggiano, Mia OF Team Max Kim
236 A.J. Ellis, LAD C Team Max
237 Mike Fiers, Mil SP   Steers McCrum
238 Matt Garza, ChC SP Team Geckle
239 Garrett Jones, Pit 1B Team Kantecki
240 Josh Beckett, LAD SP Team Rick

Why was Will Middlebrooks still available? More importantly, why didn't I draft him myself? I'm happy to take an upside play with Fiers, though. If Beckett has anything left in the tank, he could be a nice pickup, but I'm not one of his believers anymore.

241 Carlos Marmol, ChC RP Team Rick
242 Edwin Jackson, ChC SP Team Kantecki
243 Tommy Hanson, LAA SP Team Geckle
244 Kyuji Fujikawa, ChC RP   Steers McCrum
245 Bobby Parnell, NYM RP Team Max
246 Peter Bourjos, LAA OF Team Max Kim
247 Jon Jay, StL OF Team Polishuk
248 Devin Mesoraco, Cin C Team Desmond
249 Tommy Milone, Oak SP Syracuse Stars
250 Ryan Madson, LAA RP Team WILSON
251 Chris Carpenter*, StL SP Team Kas
252 Jose Veras, Hou RP Team Dierkes

Normally, I'm not one to take a closer-in-waiting, but the Cubbies seem very determined to ship Marmol away, possibly before Opening Day. Veras is a real closer, so I like that pick a lot, and Jackson is a dependable guy who adds a few strikeouts.

253 Tyler Colvin, Col OF Team Dierkes
254 Cameron Maybin, SD OF Team Kas
255 Brandon Belt, SF 1B Team WILSON
256 Frank Francisco, NYM RP Syracuse Stars
257 Michael Brantley, Cle OF Team Desmond
258 Adam Dunn, CWS 1B Team Polishuk
259 Vinnie Pestano, Cle RP Team Max Kim
260 Hisashi Iwakuma, Sea SP Team Max
261 Alexi Ogando, Tex SP   Steers McCrum
262 Dustin Ackley, Sea 2B Team Geckle
263 Daniel Murphy, NYM 2B Team Kantecki
264 Paul Maholm, Atl SP Team Rick

This is about the point where my Internet connection cut off and couldn't be restored until after the draft. Talk about timing. Adam Dunn is a great choice here. I have no idea why he was still available. Technically, Ackley has some upside--he and Murphy are decent MI choices this late.

265 Ryan Dempster, Bos SP Team Rick
266 John Jaso, Oak C Team Kantecki
267 Ryan Cook, Oak RP Team Geckle
268 Phil Hughes, NYY SP   Steers McCrum
269 Zack Cozart, Cin SS Team Max
270 Jason Hammel, Bal SP Team Max Kim
271 Wil Myers, TB OF Team Polishuk
272 Wandy Rodriguez, Pit SP Team Desmond
273 Drew Stubbs, Cle OF Syracuse Stars
274 Jason Vargas, LAA SP Team WILSON
275 Brandon McCarthy, Ari SP Team Kas
276 Ivan Nova, NYY SP Team Dierkes

I really like Dempster and McCarthy in this round: they could be worth a lot more than this. This is a good time to stash Myers, as well.

277 Adam Eaton, Ari OF Team Dierkes
278 Kyle Lohse, FA SP Team Kas
279 Chris Young, Oak OF Team WILSON
280 Russell Martin, Pit C Syracuse Stars
281 Sergio Santos, Tor RP Team Desmond
282 Wei-Yin Chen, Bal SP Team Polishuk
283 Mark Reynolds, Cle 1B Team Max Kim
284 Brandon Beachy, Atl SP Team Max
285 James McDonald, Pit SP   Steers McCrum
286 J.P. Arencibia, Tor C Team Geckle
287 David Robertson, NYY RP Team Kantecki
288 Carlos Quentin, SD OF Team Rick

Martin, Reynolds, Arencibia, and Quentin all have a decent non-zero chance of adding impact power. This late, there's no reason why not. The Santos pick is looking very good a week later. Eaton is my favorite kind of prospect: one with a starting job.

289 Jhonny Peralta, Det SS Team Rick
290 David Hernandez, Ari RP Team Kantecki
291 Trevor Bauer, Cle SP Team Geckle
292 Trevor Plouffe, Min 3B   Steers McCrum
293 Chris Carter, Hou 1B Team Max
294 Michael Saunders, Sea OF Team Max Kim
295 Alex Cobb, TB SP Team Polishuk
296 Logan Morrison, Mia OF Team Desmond
297 Shaun Marcum, NYM SP Syracuse Stars
298 Alex Rodriguez*, NYY 3B Team WILSON
299 Omar Infante, Det 2B Team Kas
300 Phil Coke, Det RP Team Dierkes

Hernandez is one of my top RP targets outside of the closers. I would normally think that Marcum was amazing value here, but the way MLB teams shied away from him in the offseason makes me nervous for next year. Cobb is an interesting upside play, and Infante is better than he seems at MI.

301 Andy Dirks, Det OF Team Dierkes
302 Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Bos C Team Kas
303 Yasmani Grandal, SD C Team WILSON
304 Clay Buchholz, Bos SP Syracuse Stars
305 Chad Billingsley, LAD SP Team Desmond
306 Rob Brantly, Mia C Team Polishuk
307 Brandon Moss, Oak 1B Team Max Kim
308 Starling Marte, Pit OF Team Max
309 Juan Pierre, Mia OF   Steers McCrum
310 Shelby Miller, StL RP Team Geckle
311 Cory Luebke, SD SP Team Kantecki
312 Sean Marshall, Cin RP Team Rick

Would I love to get a 20+ HR catcher in the last round? Yes I would. Salty shouldn't have lasted this long. Luebke is a good DL stash. Moss is a longshot, but he should have the job in Oakland, so why not give him a try? The ESPN computer gave me Pierre, but I couldn't be happier to have him on my team: steals might be the easiest stat to get from a part time player.

If you made it this far down, I think it's only fair that you get to leave a comment. What do you think of our draft? 


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