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Stock Watch: Buy & Sell Analysis

The non-waiver trade deadline has passed, and the deals that were made could have an impact on many fantasy baseball leagues across the country. Hopefully you sold high on Ryan Dempster's excellent first two-thirds of the season when recommended by Stock Watch a few weeks ago. Dempster's first start in Texas was nothing short of a disaster, as he allowed eight earned runs on Thursday.

Buy

  • Carlos Santana - Hitting .302 with six homers and 16 RBIs since the All-Star break, Santana's yearly production still is way down from pre-season expectations, and he may be available from an owner that endured his miserable first half.  Santana is actually walking more and striking out less, with an improved line-drive percentage compared to last season. 
  • Kris Medlen - Injuries to Tommy Hanson and Jair Jurrjens have opened up a rotation spot for Medlen, and his first start did not disappoint with a win and only one earned run in a rain-shortened five innings.  Medlen had a 3.86 ERA and 62/16 K/BB ratio as a starter in 2010 before undergoing Tommy John surgery. Expect his miniscule 2.43 ERA to rise somewhere between his 2.91 FIP and 3.55 SIERA when his 4.1% home run per flyball ratio increases, but he remains a worthwhile member of a 12-team mixed league rotation.
  • Greg Holland - Moved into the closer role with the trade of Jonathon Broxton, Holland has the skills to run with the job given his 2.62 career SIERA and 2.53 career FIP.  Holland has been a strikeout machine this season with 12.39 punchouts per nine innings.
  • Josh Rutledge - Colorado will need to find a place to play Rutledge every day even after Troy Tulowitzki (maybe) returns later this season.  Rutledge has home runs in four straight games entering Friday and is sporting an insane .347 ISO.  He also contributes a bit in steals as he swiped 16 bags in the minors last season and 14 this season in 379 plate appearances before his call-up.
  • Rajai Davis - The Travis Snider trade means that Davis should see everyday at-bats for Toronto.  Davis is widely available in Yahoo leagues (13% ownership) while quietly enjoying a 28-steal and six-home run season.
  • Daniel Straily - After blowing away minor league hitters this season with a 2.60 ERA and 175 strikeouts against only 37 walks in 138 1/3 innings, Straily is getting a chance to crack the Oakland rotation beginning Friday night.  Straily is not yet available in Yahoo leagues but should be claimed immediately after he is posted.

Sell

  • Chris Sale - Following a well-deserved All-Star performance the first four months of the season, Sale's velocity has diminished recently and Chicago is in the midst of providing him an extended rest between starts.  Sale has pitched over fifty more innings this season compared to last year and he may require continued rest throughout the remainder of the season or an innings cap to protect his arm during his first season as a starter.
  • Bobby Parnell - With Frank Francisco returning from injury and Parnell failing to establish himself as a reliable closer, Parnell's shelf life for save opportunities has likely closed.  Parnell is safe to drop in 12-team mixed leagues if Francisco is immediately inserted into the closer role. 


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