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Stock Watch: Buy & Sell Analysis

Last week's Stock Watch correctly anticipated that the path to Boston's closer job was opening for Andrew Bailey but also recommended selling Andre Ethier right before a hot streak in which he had consecutive 4-for-4 games.  Hopefully this week's edition is less of a mixed bag:

Buy

  • Casey Kelly - After an incredible 39 to 3 strikeout to walk ratio in the minor leagues, including 14 strikeouts to zero walks in 12 innings for AAA, Kelly moved into the Padres rotation this week with a solid six innings and zero run performance.  The Padres have a juicy schedule for pitchers with 15 of their remaining 27 games at home this season, and six of the away games in LA or SF.  Grab Kelly off waivers now but leave him on your bench for Saturday's start in Colorado.
  • Pedro Alvarez - A notoriously streaky hitter, Alvarez is hot again and capable of carrying an offense for a week or two.  Alvarez has three home runs and seven RBIs in his last two games, and is owned in less than half of Yahoo leagues.
  • Ronald Belisario and Brandon League - With Kenley Jansen sidelined indefinitely and potentially missing the remainder of the season (he missed almost a month last season with a heart related condition), owners should be quick to pounce on Jansen's replacement.  The Dodgers have indicated that Belisario and League will share the closer role for now, but either could run with the job.
  • Josh Donaldson - Owned in only 5% of Yahoo leagues, Donaldson has home runs in back-to-back games and is worth rostering as a second or third catcher while he is hot.
  • A.J. Ellis - As owners in daily leagues stream hitters to maximize games played, catcher is the position where hitters can be freely streamed without concern for approaching the standard 162-game cap.  Ellis is a good streaming option as he was dropped in many leagues after a hot start but has turned it on in August by hitting .293 with three home runs and twelve RBIs.
  • Adam Lind - With a demotion to the minors earlier in the season, Lind has become a largely forgotten source for power.  However, Lind is back and hitting cleanup for the Blue Jays yet is owned in only 21% of Yahoo leagues.  Owners fighting for points in HRs and RBIs to finish the year should claim Lind where available.
  • Trayvon Robinson - On the other hand, owners looking for speed should pick up Robinson from waivers.  Yahoo is showing a 0% ownership rate for Robinson, yet he has three steals in the last three games after collecting 19 steals and 9 home runs in 381 plate appearances for AAA this season.
  • Shelby Miller - After beginning the season slowly, Miller has been downright filthy at AAA since July 30 with a 52 to 4 strikeout to walk ratio in 38 1/3 innings pitched.  The Cardinals have indicated they are planning on recalling Miller when rosters expand and the top prospect should be preemptively claimed in leagues where minor league players can be picked up.

Sell

  • Tommy Hanson - After giving up three earned runs with eight hits and two walks in 4 2/3 innings in Petco during his last start, owners in 12-team mixed leagues can drop Hanson to stream starters with good matchups or to claim a needed hitter.  Hanson has pitched more than 5 1/3 innings in only one of his last seven starts, and he has been hit around in all three starts since returning from the disabled list with an ugly 5.74 ERA and 1.85 WHIP.  


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