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Stock Watch: Buy & Sell Analysis

Last week's Stock Watch recommended claiming Eric Young Jr. as an upside second baseman for the remainder of the season.  With two home runs and a steal this week, Young should be claimed in any leagues in which he remains on waivers.

Buy

  • Gregor Blanco - With Melky Cabrera out the remainder of the season, Blanco should see everyday playing time in the outfield.  Blanco has 19 steals on the season and has some pop with 5 home runs in 350 plate appearances.  Steals and saves are the two scoring categories where points can most easily be obtained this late in the season in leagues where teams are bunched up.  Blanco can have an impact in steals, and can also allow an owner to trade steals to a team right under a competitor in that category by replacing the speedster on his roster with Blanco.  Knocking a competitor down a point in steals has the same impact as gaining a point in the category.
  • Darin Mastroianni - Similar to Blanco, Mastroianni can have a big impact in steals while Denard Span remains sidelined.  Mastroianni has 14 steals and 3 home runs in only 128 plate appearances this season.  He also stole between 30 and 45 bases each season in the minors entering this year.
  • Jon Rauch - After recording saves in the last two Mets victories and bailing out an ineffective Frank Francisco in both games, the Mets may be forced to give Rauch a look at closer.  Rauch has "closer experience" having saved 21 games in 2010, and Francisco may not be entirely healthy.
  • Jon Jay - With 2 home runs, 3 steals and a .392 batting average in August, Jay has been shifted to the lead-off spot in the Cardinals lineup.  Jay is enjoying a career best BB/K ratio of .67, and is taking more walks while striking out less than he has in either of his previous MLB seasons.  This improved batting eye is a good sign that Jay is developing as a hitter and should be able to sustain a batting average in the .290 to .300 range.
  • Doug Fister - Enjoying another second half surge, Fister should receive plenty of run support and is a good bet for wins and helpful ratios the remainder of the season.  Fister has a 1.52 ERA and .86 WHIP in the second half this season after putting together a 2.47 ERA and .91 WHIP in the second half last year.
  • Ben Zobrist - Now has shortstop eligibility in Yahoo leagues after getting a look at the position and performing well defensively.  Zobrist's power/speed combination is quite valuable at the shortstop position.
  • Eric Chavez - Continues his hitting onslaught with 4 home runs and 9 RBIs in August, and is playing nearly every day with Alex Rodriguez out until September.  Yankee Stadium led all of MLB by a wide margin with a home run park factor of 116 for left hand hitters.

Sell

  • James McDonald - The good times are over and it is now time to cut bait in even 14-team mixed leagues.  McDonald has an 8.71 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in the second half, and there are rumblings that he may get shifted to the bullpen so Kevin Correia (!) can remain in the rotation.  With the Pirates chasing a playoff spot they will not remain patient through McDonald's command problems.
  • Jarrod Parker - Parker's ERA has been on a steady climb since bottoming out at 2.46 on July 2nd.  Parker has given up four or more earned runs in five of his last seven starts, and his SIERA sits at 4.29 on the season.  Parker has thrown more innings this year than in any professional season, and now is the time to include Parker in a larger deal to a pitching starved team while his season stats look respectable. 


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