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Stock Watch: Buy & Sell Analysis

Last week's Stock Watch recommended claiming Jon Jay, and that has paid immediate dividends, as Jay went 10-for-25 with five runs and a steal since then.

Buy

  • Andrew Bailey - Unscored upon in his first three outings of the season, his path to the closer spot may have opened up on Thursday as Alfredo Aceves had an ugly meltdown by blowing a save while giving up five earned runs, including giving up two runs in the top of the 10th inning after Cody Ross hit a ninth-inning home run to get Boston to extra innings.
  • Tyler Colvin - With Michael Cuddyer back on the disabled list, Colvin has been getting everyday playing time and has been providing serious value to owners with three steals, four runs and a home run in the Rockies' four-game series against the Mets this week. Colvin has hit .362 with five steals, twelve runs and eleven RBIs in August, and is still owned in only 23% of Yahoo leagues.
  • David Murphy - Quietly hitting .312 and owned in only 22% of Yahoo! leagues, Murphy has been hot with seven runs, a home run and five RBIs in the last five games. Murphy has the best walk to strikeout ratio and highest line drive rate of his career.
  • Andrew Cashner - Working his way back from injury, Cashner threw two shutout innings in his last rehab appearance and could provide excellent strikeout rates just in time for the fantasy playoffs. Pluck him off waivers and stash until he returns to the rotation in September.
  • John Axford - He's back in the closer role with the Brewers, as manager Ron Roenicke indicated that Axford would see save opportunities going forward.  Pick Axford back off waivers in leagues where he was dropped after being demoted. Axford was a fantasy stud last season and should be fine going forward as his SIERA is 3.11 on the season and his strikeouts have increased from last year.
  • Daniel Straily - Bartolo Colon's suspension opens a rotation spot back up for minor league strikeout machine Straily.  
  • Zack Cozart - Turning it up since the calendar switched to August, Cozart is hitting .304 with four home runs, nine RBIs and 11 runs this month.  Cozart is hitting out of the lead-off spot in a good offense with a favorable home park, and could provide sneaky value from the MI slot the remainder of the season.

Sell

  •  Anibal Sanchez - After being dealt to the American League, Sanchez has been a fantasy bust with a 6.33 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in 27 innings.  Sanchez's strikeout rate is way down from 9.26 per nine innings last year to only 7.84 this season.  Not surprisingly, hitters are not swinging and missing as much this year as his swinging strike percentage is similarly down from 10.9% to 9.7%.
  • Andre Ethier - In leagues where the trading deadline has not passed, owners should look to take advantage of the disconnect between Ethier's popular name and poor recent production.  Ethier is hitting only .252 in the second half with two home runs, and he is suffering through the worst strikeout rate of his career this season.  


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