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Stock Watch: Buy & Sell Analysis

Last week's Stock Watch recommended picking up Derek Norris for his power potential as a second catcher, and Norris has lived up to the hype in his first week with Oakland by hitting .316 with a home run and five RBIs.  

Buy

  • Andrew Cashner - After dominating Double-A while getting his arm stretched out with a 1.88 ERA and a 23/3 K/BB in 14 1/3 innings over three starts, Cashner had a solid first start in the Padres rotation Thursday night by striking out nine batters in 6 1/3 innings while allowing only three baserunners. In a home park that makes Clayton Richard a viable mixed-league option, Cashner could have significant value for the rest of the season if he can keep a strong strikeout rate while pitching out of the rotation.
  • Ben Revere - Off fantasy radars after starting the season slow and getting sent to the minors, Revere is back in a big way with 11 steals and a .337 batting average in June.  This season, Revere is hitting more ground balls than in any previous year, and he has the highest ground ball-to-fly ball percentage of his career. Hitting out of the second spot in the Twins lineup, Revere should continue to have the green light to steal bases and should be targeted by owners looking for cheap speed.
  • Ike Davis - Finally creeping past the Mendoza Line (and then dropping back below following yesterday's 0-for-4) after being slowed in Spring Training and perhaps the regular season with Valley Fever, Davis is heating up with five home runs and 20 RBIs in June. His season numbers are still poor enough that he can be acquired on the cheap. However, Davis' low .236 BABIP despite a career-high line drive percentage is a sign that things should turn around the remainder of the season.
  • Tyler Moore - After hitting two home runs on June 13, Moore was quiet until going into Coors Field this week and hitting home runs in back to back games with five RBIs on the series. Moore is now up to a .339 batting average on the season and could be a nice waiver wire claim if he runs with the left field job in Washington.  He has earned a shot at regular playing time after clubbing 31 home runs in both 2010 and 2011 while working his way up the Nationals' minor league system. 

Sell

  • Trevor Bauer - Despite posting excellent strikeout numbers and a low ERA in the minors this season, Bauer's 4.6 walks per nine innings mark is a red flag for his chances of enjoying immediate success in the Majors.  Bauer continued his wild ways by walking three batters in his four-inning debut. While Bauer's future is certainly bright, the 21-year old makes for an excellent sell candidate in re-draft leagues to an owner that is buying the rookie hype.  
  • Wade Miley - The second Arizona starter on the sell list, Miley's incredible season numbers are buoyed by a HR/FB percentage of 4.8% and BABIP of .255.  Both of these numbers are significantly better than last season and when they even out Miley's rest of season ERA should approximate the 4.45 projected by ZiPS.  Although Miley's 1.79 walks per nine innings is impressive, beware that he had not approached this mark in a season throughout his major and minor league career.
  • Tony Campana - While Anthony's Rizzo is the toast of Wrigleyville, his arrival has certainly not done Campana owners any favors as the Cubs have shifted David DeJesus to centerfield and taken away Campana's path to playing time.
  • Bobby Parnell - With excellent numbers across the board on the season, Parnell has received a lot of hype while taking over the closer role for the injured Frank Francisco.  However, the Mets stuck with Francisco throughout his struggles earlier in the season and it is doubtful they would make Francisco a setup man after signing him to a two-year $12 million deal in the offseason. Sell high to an owner that believes Parnell may hold the closer job the rest of the season.


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