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Stock Watch: Buy & Sell Analysis

Happy Opening Week, and welcome to the weekly RotoAuthority Stock Watch:

Sell

  • Geovany Soto - Hitting eighth for a weak-hitting Cubs team.
  • Rafael Furcal - Stolen bases in first two games of the season and leading off the Cards. His value may never be higher; sell high if you can, but don't just give him away since the leadoff spot for the Cards is a valuable spot.  He's worth more than his pre-season ADP, but still a nice sell-high candidate based on his age and injury propensity.
  • David Freese - The same reasons he was overrated in preseason ADP still exist. Huge start to the season could lead to an excellent return. See if you can package him with something for Brett Lawrie or Aramis Ramirez.
  • Matt Thornton - Robin Ventura is to Thornton as Mike Scioscia was to Mike Napoli. The White Sox closer is a huge question mark, and Thornton pitched on Opening Day in the eighth inning with the White Sox losing.
  • Lucas Duda - Popular sleeper pick went hitless on Opening Day with two strikeouts and five left on base. More concerning, he hit sixth, with Josh Thole and Ruben Tejada hitting after. Duda may never see a pitch to hit with that lack of protection.
  • Erik Bedard / Johan Santana - Both starters looked good on Opening Day and, more importantly, are still healthy. Inquire with pitching-starved owners as to what you can get for these two while they are healthy.
  • Colby Rasmus - Raz went 0-for-7 on Opening Day, hitting ninth in Toronto's lineup. Don't panic, but if you can get full price in a deal, it might be a good idea to pull the trigger.

Buy

  • Javy Guerra - He earned a clean save on Opening Day, and Kenley Jansen gave up two runs following a 5.00 ERA in the Spring. Guerra's leash as closer is extended, and he seems poised to hold the job unless his poor performance dictates a change is necessary. A nice idea would be to trade Marmol (Opening Day loss and trade candidate) for Guerra and a hitting upgrade.
  • Jesse Crain / Hector Santiago - Addison Reed and Thornton pitched in the seventh and eighth innings, respectively, in the White Sox loss on Opening Day, which may signal that Crain or Santiago are in line for saves.
  • Adam Dunn - After a miserable 2011, he hit a mammoth home run and took a walk on Opening Day hitting in the third slot. Paul Konerko is protecting him in the lineup, which is also a positive.  Dunn may be on the verge of a comeback season.
  • Brandon Belt - Looks in line to get the majority of at-bats at first base and may run away with the job with a hot start. He has big upside for a late-round pick. Target an owner that drafted Belt after already locking up the first-base and corner-infield slots.
  • Vinnie Pestano - The hard-throwing right-hander may be one Chris Perez blowup away from the closer job.
  • Ryan Doumit - Started in right field on Opening Day, which shows that the Twins want his bat in the lineup. Good low-end first catcher or high-end second catcher in mixed leagues.
  • Ian Desmond - The shortstop had the game-winning hit on Opening Day, leading off for the Nats. If he can hold that spot in the lineup, he should be in line for nice contributions in runs and steals.
  • Jim Johnson - He was finally officially named closer and got a save on Opening Day.
  • Edwin Encarnacion - Double-E was sandwiched in order between Jose Bautista, Adam Lind and Lawrie. It's a good place to be.
  • Giancarlo Stanton - He's off to a slow 0-for-8 to start the season, and hitting in a park that looks like it could be Petco II. But, his power plays in any park, so see if a panicky owner might move him.


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