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Only For You

Here at RotoAuthority, the finest free fantasy site around, we focus on serpentine, mixed league drafts. We are also extremely good looking. This morning, I took grainy photos of myself in the mirror with my white iPhone to post on Match.com! We know how to live, and we also know that some of you nerds are too nerdy even for mixed leagues. You play in Only leagues, the Himalaya of nerddom. From your obvallate mountain fortresses of telencephalon, you glare down at the impolitic fantasy populace, dazed within the labyrinthian mediocrity of mixed league involvement.

For you, then, you lithotrophic fantasy Leibniz, you Tenzing Norgay of sabermetric alpinism, I will hastily review this weekend past's AL and NL Only LABR auction drafts, playing favor to your teeming intellect and perhaps garnering a vaunted Facebook like. Might a five best, five worst gets for each suffice?

AL Only, 5 Best Gets:

Kevin Youkilis, $20. A healthy Youkilis, hitting cleanup for the Red Sox, playing a premium position. 3B is deeper in the AL, but this is an excellent buy. 

Kendrys Morales, $9. Morales has already begun running zig-zag cuts and will run the bases this week. Huge upside in this buy, and, at $9, not much downside. 

Josh Reddick, $7. All but guaranteed a full slate of ABs in the middle of the Athletics lineup, Reddick could easily go .270/15/75/75/5.

Philip Humber, $4. Humber's WHIP in 2011: 1.18. If he can manage a WHIP in the 1.20's in 2012, this bid is gold. 

Bartolo Colon, $2. Don't look now, but Colon posted a 3.60 SIERA in 164 innings in 2011. He'll be pitching in the friendly confines of O.co Coliseum, home of the 5th lowest HR park factor in 2011. 

AL Only, 5 Worst Gets:

Brandon Inge was not drafted. There are still reserve rounds, of course, but a player with Inge's pop and a good shot at 2B should go for at least $1, especially in the Tigers lineup. 

Nelson Cruz, $26. Cruz still has huge power potential, but he can't stay on the field. In an Only league, paying $26 for 450 ABs will sabotage your season.

Delmon Young, $21. Sure, Delmon will bat behind Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder, but he's a tease. Young's 2011 ISO was an anemic .120. With a career FB% of 33.6, HR/FB% of 9.2, and BB% of 4.2, I say blech. Either Alex Avila or Jhonny Peralta could easily end up in the five hole. 

Ricky Romero, $19. Romero is Philip Humber. Ricky lucked out with a 79.2 LOB% and .242 BABIP. Sure, he gets a lot of ground balls (54.7%), but that's about it. Romero is bound to regress.

Vernon Wells, $16. Wells could certainly rebound, and will obviously get playing time.  Wells is 33 and had a .248 OBP in 2011, however, and is too risky at this price. 

Scott Baker, $14. Baker is talented, but can't stay healthy. A dangerous play.

NL Only, 5 Best Gets:

J.D. Martinez, $14. Martinez raked in the minors and will be locked in to the three-hole. The Astros will likely be terrible again, but there is serious upside here. 

Alfonso Soriano, $10. There is plenty of pop left in Soriano's bat (.225 ISO in '11), and he could still threaten 30 HR. A .260/30/90/75 season is possible. 

Jordan Schafer, $5. Another Houston OF, Schafer could go 10/30. At $5, a bargain. Hit up the Astros for your NL Only discounts. 

Johan Santana, $5. No setbacks yet for Johan. Sign me up for $5. 

Chris Capuano, $3. Capuano quietly had an excellent 2011, posting an 8.13 K/9 and 3.60 SIERA. A steal at $3. 

NL Only, 5 Worst Gets:

David Wright, $30. Wright has been on tilt for the past three years. The power came back in 2010, but at the expense of a 10.3 SwStr%. Marred by injuries and the psychosomatic cesspool that is being the failed poster boy of a failed franchise, I'm staying away. The corner positions are extremely shallow in the NL, but I don't think this is a reason to overspend. Best to let others spend heavily on overpriced players and build depth and breadth. 

Starlin Castro, $28. Castro, like Elvis Andrus in the AL, is overvalued due to his youth and supposed upside. Castro does have a sweet swing, but that doesn't make him a great fantasy SS. He can't take a walk, isn't a good basestealer, and doesn't have much power. With Jose Reyes going for $29, this is a bad investment. 

Michael Cuddyer, $27. Not good. I understand that the deflated pitching market affected the entire draft, but this is too much. Roy Halladay went for $28. 

Martin Prado, $24. Also not good. 

Daniel Hudson, $17. Hudson is the NL's Ricky Romero. Overrated for no apparent reason, Hudson's SwStr% fell back to 7.7%. Especially in the context of this particular draft, $17 is too much for Hudson. 

POST ANALYSIS DISCLAIMER:

Auction drafts are expressly fluid, and thus retrospect price evaluation is suspect. Nonetheless, perhaps you Only leaguers now have a slightly enhanced market understanding as you engage in final preparations. Not that you'd need any help, Narcissus.  


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