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2 After 200

Draft season is upon us, dear readers, and rather than zig, I'll zag, providing two players at each infield position I'd like to own after pick 200. For ADP, we'll be sampling from a different source, fantasypros.com, which provides average ADP from across four sites: Yahoo!, ESPN, CBS, and Fox. Mock Draft Central ADP data is not included, but you know where to find it. 

1B

Kendrys Morales: Cheating a bit here, and unless you play fantasy baseball with cave inscriptions, chances are Morales won't make it to pick 200. Morales is emerging as the value pick at 1B in 2012. We all know what he did in 2009, and he was on his way in 2010. He did experience calf tightness on Monday, but this is to be expected after he ran the bases on Sunday and Monday. His upside is tremendous. ADP 199.1. 

Adam Dunn: One and Dunn? Naw. Chalk it up to injuries, a league switch, and entropy. The guy was a machine for 7 years straight, and is only 32. Grab him at this heavily discounted rate, especially in OBP and OPS leagues. ADP 219.3.

2B

Allen Craig:  Cheating again here, as Craig is only 2B eligible in some leagues (8 GP at 2B in 2011). In 2011, Craig posted a monster triple slash of .312/.362/.555 in limited playing time (219 PA), and has three seasons of .400+ wOBA in the minor leagues. Craig makes an excellent late-round DL stash, and has begun sprinting in the OF. He should return by May 1st. ADP: 239.9. 

Jose Altuve: Pencilled in to the second spot in the order, Altuve is supremely undervalued because he plays for the Houston Astros. As a 21 year-old, Altuve posted wOBAs of .452 and .406 at High A and AA in 2011. And he can run. ZiPS loves him, and I tend to agree: .292/80/10/66/33. ADP: 241.5. 

3B

Chris Davis: Remember this guy? The Orioles aren't going to ask him to do anything but swing for the fences as their second cleanup hitter, and between the violent whiffs of Davis and Mark Reynolds, Camden Yards might just lift off into the sky. Still, Davis is eligible at 3B, and he turns 26 this Sunday. Consider Davis a post-post-post-hype sleeper. That's a double secret probation sleeper. ADP 236.8. 

Brent Morel: Morel hit for AVG in the minor leagues (.320 in 2010), and showed some power (16 HR in 2009) and speed (25 SB in 2009). He turns 25 in April, and, as several others have pointed out, posted a .329 ISO in 103 September PA. During this power surge, Morel also showed a strong eye (18 K, 15 BB). If Morel is able to sustain some semblance of this approach in 2012, you have the pick of the draft. ADP 251.0. 

SS

Zack Cozart: Also projected to hit second and fully recovered from Tommy John surgery, Cozart could be a pleasant surprise in 2012. Cozart showed some speed (30 SB in 2010) and some power (17 HR in 2010) in the minor leagues, and even hit for average in 2011 (.310). Think .265/85/12/65/15, with upside for 15/25. ADP 241.5. 

Mike Aviles: It looks like the Red Sox are going to throw Aviles against the revolving door of SS in Boston, and if he sticks, nice numbers should follow. Aviles has speed, a little bit of pop, and a solid contact rate (career 85.4%). If his LD% returns to pre-2011 levels (18.8+) and he gets 550+ PA, we could be looking at a .275/75/12/70/20 season. ADP 243.3.

 

 

 


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