« Study: Does It Pay To Bench Starting Pitchers? | Main | Roundtable: Worst Drop Of The Year »

Five for Friday: Sophomores

There have been a few well-publicized struggles by some of the top rookies from 2009, including Florida's Chris Coghlan, J.A. Happ (injuries) and even Andrew Bailey (significant drop in secondary stats like K-rate). Let's have a look at five more of the top rookies from '09 and see how they're doing.

Gordon Beckham | 2B | Chicago (AL): A lot of people were projecting a big year for Beckham in '10 but that just hasn't been the case. The infielder is currently hitting just .194/.288/.239 in 179 plate appearances. His power has completely dried up (0.45 ISO rate) but he does continue to take a reasonable number of walks (10.1%). The club has insisted that it's not going to send him down to triple-A to work on his game, but that might be a mistake given that it's getting worse, not better (.149 batting average in May); he's hurting the club and something needs to be done to ensure this is not a long-lasting issue.

Elvis Andrus | SS | Texas: On the flip-side, Andrus was supposed to be a glove-only player, at least early in his career. He's matured into a solid hitter much sooner than people expected. The 21-year-old is currently hitting .305/.399/.347 in 201 plate appearances. After nabbing 33 bases in '09, Andrus already has 17 in '10. Although his strikeout rate is up a bit (and his power numbers are down), the young infielder has shown more patience at the plate, with his walk rate going from 7.4 in '09 to 12.9% this season.

Rick Porcello | RHP | Detroit: It's been well-documented that Porcello is a much better real-life ball player than a fantasy pitcher, but he still ended up on a good number of fantasy teams in 2010. Unfortunately, after winning 14 games as a rookie, Porcello has seen his strikeout rate remain static at 4.50 K/9, while his ERA (5.58) and WHIP (1.70) have both risen significantly. If your fantasy league counts ground-ball rate than he might have some value... otherwise, he's an injury fill-in option only in mixed leagues.

Casey McGehee | 3B | Milwaukee: McGehee's rookie season was considered a fluke by almost everyone outside of those in his fan club and family. However, his wOBA has actually risen over last year from .367 to .395. McGehee has been one of Milwaukee's best hitters with a triple-slash line of .315/.377/.534. He has a bit of an unusual swing but it seems to work for him. He could end up being a classic late bloomer and is a threat for 80-100 RBI in 2010.

Garrett Jones | OF | Pittsburgh: Like fellow late-bloomer McGehee, Jones' '09 season was considered a fluke. Unlike McGehee, the projection with Jones may have been correct. The Pirates outfielder is currently hitting just .253/.337/.391 in 199 plate appearances. His power has dropped from an ISO rate of .274 in '09 to .138 in '10. Without the power in his swing, Jones is pretty much useless to fantasy owners, outside of his first base eligibility, which gives roster flexibility. Monitor the 28-year-old's situation but but don't hang onto him expecting a huge reversal of fortunes.


Full Story |  Comments (0) | Categories:


Site Map     Contact     About     Advertise     Privacy Policy     MLB Trade Rumors     Rss Feed