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Closer Rankings

I don't put much stock into fantasy baseball closer rankings.  An extra five saves for a guy can cause a big swing in his value; it's just very unpredictable.  For a lot of guys on this list I simply put them down for 30 saves because they currently have closing jobs.  Draft round is in parentheses.

  1. Jonathan Papelbon (6) - $21.50
  2. Jonathan Broxton (6) - $21.39
  3. Mariano Rivera (6) - $18.31
  4. Joakim Soria (9) - $16.81
  5. Heath Bell (9) - $15.80
  6. Francisco Rodriguez (8) - $13.81
  7. Huston Street (12) - $13.62
  8. Brian Wilson (12) - $13.25
  9. Chad Qualls (17) - $13.03
  10. Andrew Bailey (11) - $12.22
  11. Rafael Soriano (13) - $12.02
  12. Carlos Marmol (12) - $10.93
  13. Billy Wagner (13) - $10.06
  14. Francisco Cordero (10) - $9.55
  15. Jose Valverde (11) - $9.14
  16. Trevor Hoffman (14) - $8.32
  17. Frank Francisco (17) - $7.90
  18. Brandon Lyon (28) - $7.33
  19. Octavio Dotel (23) - $7.28
  20. Mike Gonzalez (17) - $7.04
  21. David Aardsma (14) - $6.94
  22. Bobby Jenks (13) - $6.52
  23. Matt Capps (19) -$6.48
  24. Kerry Wood (19) - $6.27
  25. Jon Rauch (27) - $6.07
  26. Brian Fuentes (10) - $5.33
  27. Ryan Franklin (13) - $4.12
  28. Brad Lidge (18) - $4.04
  29. Leo Nunez (21) - $2.58
  30. Jason Frasor (27) - -$0.45
  31. Ryan Madson (27) - -$0.61
  32. J.P. Howell (24) - -$0.64
  33. Kevin Gregg (28) - -$1.23
  34. Scott Downs (27) - -$7.68
  35. Fernando Rodney (19) - -$10.15
  • There's a pretty good chance Bell is traded, not necessarily into a closing job, so he's going too early.
  • K-Rod's going too early.  He doesn't magically create extra save opps for his team just by being K-Rod.
  • Street, Soriano, and Wagner could have big years but are being valued properly given injury concerns (with Wagner, it's just his age).  Marmol's awful control will cause me to stay away. 
  • Qualls, Dotel, Capps, and Wood are bargains, though Wood and Dotel carry trade risk.
  • I've given Lyon the nod over Matt Lindstrom for now, though Lyon is coming back from minor shoulder surgery.  Keep an eye on this one.  Also monitor the Twins and Blue Jays, where my favorites are Rauch and Gregg.  Right now I've got Frasor and Gregg with 15 saves each because it's too early to call.  Maybe you like Matt Guerrier for the Twins.
  • In general, if you like to avoid the top names, you don't need to think about closers until the 14th or 15th round - even if you need three.  Consider skills, current injuries, injury history, salaries, quality of backups, and trade risk.  Half your league's saves will come from the waiver wire anyway, so be sure to follow @CloserNews on Twitter.


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