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Roundtable: Early Regrets

I am hosting this week's roundtable.  My question:

Here on April 30th, what is your single biggest fantasy baseball regret of the year?

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Sean Sultaire, Fantasy Baseball Geeks:

My biggest regret of the year occurred on draft day.  Each year I am determined to wait as long as possible to pick a starting pitcher and this season was no different.  So my regret is not having a legit ace on any of my rosters.  Now this does not mean my teams will not be competitive or even perhaps win, but rather that I do not have the pleasure on knowing Johan is going to get 20 wins and Lincecum is gold for 220 K's.  This strategy has been engrained in me for many years and I have had some very good success, however I do wish that just one year I could deviate from my plan and get a bona fide ace.  For now I have to hope that my roster's ace Matt Cain takes the next step into the elite otherwise I will watch Santana's stat line and wonder "what if."

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Brett Greenfield, Fantasy Phenoms

My biggest fantasy regret of this young season is drafting Ervin Santana on several of my teams.  On every team of mine that he's on, he was drafted prior to the injury announcement, but having what was supposed to be your ace not throw a single inning yet in 2009 is a killer.  While it's hard to regret much this early, having Santana on my teams has to be the biggest regret of all.

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Tommy Landry, RotoExperts

My biggest regret off the young season is that I did not do enough research about all of the new parks in MLB. Take the Yankees' new stadium for instance. In only nine home games as of Sunday, May 3, the team has already mashed 17 HR at home. The park is set up rather similarly to the old digs, but it has been oriented in a different direction, which supposedly helps balls carry by aligning a tail wind from home plate to the outfield. Given the trend for balls to carry farther in warmer weather, this could be the start of something notable as we head into the heat of summer. Had I done enough digging in this area, I'd have stacked up a lot more of the New York position players in pretty much every format. And I'd have avoided the pitching staff altogether.

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Adam Ronis, Newsday

I don't have a lot of regrets so far. Check back with me in a few weeks, though. One that I do is drafting Fausto Carmona in an AL-Only league in an auction. I didn't talk about him much or write about him. I wasn't someone pimping him out for a comeback. So what possessed me to draft him? Did I anger my girlfriend that day and she performed some voodoo to sink my team? I really don't know what drove me to take this guy. His control was awful last season and no matter how many groundballs you induce, a walk rate hovering around 5 isn't going to cut it. Even in his great 2007 season, his K/9 was below 6. He needs to be pinpoint to be successful. I also failed to take a lot of players that I endorsed to my readers such as Aaron Hill -- entry posted on Jan. 16 -- and Paul Maholm.

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Rudy Gamble, Razzball

Right now, I'd have to say by biggest regret is betting big on catchers in 2 catcher leagues.  Catchers have just been snakebit this year.  McCann and Doumit get freak injuries.  Soto has a bum shoulder.  Russ Martin hasn't shown up yet.  It's quite annoying for me because I think the tradition of two catchers in 'expert leagues' is stupid and I always punt catchers when in 1 catcher leagues.

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Jon Williams - Advanced Fantasy Baseball

I wish I could say something clever based around not owning either Carl Crawford or Dexter Fowler for their five-plus steal days. But that would not be accurate. I guess my biggest regret is that I played it so straight this season. My usual style of drafting involves taking at least a few giant risks in hopes that that one or two will pay off big time. I had a hunch that a few Texas starters would shoot up in value this season. That idea appears to be right on so far, but I did not invest in any of them. I wrote a post touting Emilio Bonifacio as a potential sleeper but I allowed him to go undrafted in most of my leagues (except the one where he mysteriously went for 15 to another believer) in favor of safer options. My less risk approach has not been bad for my teams so far. Most of my teams look like solid contenders so far so it , hasn’t doomed my season or anything like that. However, those risky players usually provide an aura of excitement around my teams that I just don’t feel this season. Sure, Kevin Millwood will probably blow up someone’s ratios eventually. I know that Bonifacio is already in a slump after his hot start. But I consider that a huge part of the fun of fantasy baseball that I did not allow myself this year.

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Patrick Cain, Times Union

My biggest regret is my draft. I wanted to hang back in my 20-team league and make moves later in the draft, getting an arsenal of $15-$20 guys at a discount. Well, as things turned out within the first 10 names nominated I had already drafted 3 guys (Pujols, Miguel Cabrera, and Brian Roberts). All are great to have, and they've got me off to a great start, but it threw off my plan and left me with little to spend on pitching. Now I'm relying on a staff of Volquez, Pettite, Washburn, Zito, Ohlendorf, Masterson, Marshall...So far, so good, but we'll see.

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Tim Dierkes, RotoAuthority

In a few leagues, I didn't draft enough upside guys because I paid too much attention to my dollar value projections.  Derrek Lee and Randy Johnson might have solid projections, but a few of those types of veterans fall short every year and you need young breakout players to balance them out.  Maybe Adam Jones or Johnny Cueto only projected at $7, but both had opportunity and obvious breakout potential.  The championship team usually has a few of those 15th round players who have monster seasons.

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Mike Podhorzer, FantasyPros911

My biggest regret would have to be drafting a whole bunch of young, potential breakout pitchers and going cheap on my staff. I figured if I drafted enough of them, a couple would pan out and I could simply replace those who blew up. Unfortunately, four of my five bench players (all pitchers) have been dropped as guys like David Purcey, Brett Anderson and Trevor Cahill remind us once again that it's just not worth gambling on a rookie (or in Purcey's case, second year) pitcher. I'll throw Manny Parra into the group as well, though I actually drafted him on my starting roster and he remains on my team. It is always tempting to go cheap on pitching assuming you'll be the one to pick up the Edinson Volquez' of the world- the young pitcher who suddenly figures it out and has a breakout year that could have been found on free agency. However, this obviously is the exception to the rule and does not happen as often as it might seem.


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