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Monitoring Jordan Zimmermann

Nationals rookie Jordan Zimmermann is available in a lot of mixed leagues, as his ERA found its way to 6.35 after an ugly May 17th start against the Phillies. It was Zimmermann's fourth consecutive slow start.  But just when I'd completely counted him out, he put up a 7 inning, 1 ER, 7 K gem against the Orioles.  That's a team that hits righties pretty well.

Zimmermann's numbers so far:

41 innings
5.71 ERA
3.80 xFIP
1.41 WHIP
1.35 Expected WHIP
8.56 K/9
2.63 BB/9
3.25 K/BB
1.32 HR/9
19.7% HR/flyball rate
38.1% groundball rate
10.10 H/9
.351 BABIP vs. .324 team BABIP

So if Zimmermann had a 3.80 ERA and 1.35 WHIP with 39 Ks in 7 starts, would he be on any waiver wires?  Not many.  But it seems that that's what we should expect from here on out, especially as he gets acclimated to the Majors.  Zimmermann is stuck with the Nationals' defense, but his BABIP should still come down as should his HR/flyball rate.

Zimmermann starts against the Mets today, a team ranked 9th in the NL with a .737 OPS against righties.  While he's stuck dueling with Johan Santana, the Mets' depleted lineup won't have Carlos Beltran, Jose Reyes, or Carlos Delgado.  It looks like he'll get the Giants next time out, so I'm willing to give him a look in mixed leagues.  I just have to find the patience to stick with Zimmermann after his next lousy start.


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