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BABIP, Anyone?

Minimum 15 innings pitched.  Those benefitting from low BABIPs so far this year:

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Jonathan Sanchez 0.182 1.42 0.175 2.60 1.27
Tim Wakefield 0.184 1.42 0.048 1.86 0.97
Jeff Karstens 0.190 0.89 0.333 5.40 1.40
Brian Tallet 0.204 1.88 0.182 2.95 1.09
Chris Volstad 0.207 1.83 0.145 2.70 1.16
Dan Haren 0.214 7.20 0.089 1.54 0.74
Kevin Millwood 0.216 2.75 0.123 2.13 0.97
Edwin Jackson 0.221 2.63 0.150 2.25 1.03
Ted Lilly 0.227 2.67 0.241 3.80 1.10
John Danks 0.230 2.25 0.122 2.74 1.09
Yovani Gallardo 0.232 2.88 0.116 3.71 1.01
James Shields 0.233 1.55 0.198 3.74 1.22
Jarrod Washburn 0.238 2.43 0.160 3.42 1.10
Rick Porcello 0.241 3.67 0.214 4.50 1.17
Scott Kazmir 0.242 1.42 0.159 3.97 1.32
Koji Uehara 0.243 2.33 0.187 4.56 1.14
John Maine 0.246 1.25 0.128 5.40 1.34

These WHIPs will not be maintained.  Use extra caution on those with low K/BB ratios.

Here's a look at those with high BABIPs/bad luck:

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Todd Wellemeyer 0.451 2.17 0.105 6.14 1.95
Joe Blanton 0.429 2.86 0.270 8.41 1.97
Carl Pavano 0.417 3.20 0.250 9.50 1.89
Dana Eveland 0.408 1.00 0.048 5.95 2.08
Cole Hamels 0.407 3.75 0.311 7.27 1.79
Tim Lincecum 0.404 5.00 0.129 2.96 1.27
Ubaldo Jimenez 0.404 1.12 0.105 7.58 2.11
Ricky Nolasco 0.398 2.44 0.187 6.92 1.69
Andy Sonnanstine 0.397 1.88 0.155 7.78 1.83
Adam Eaton 0.397 2.63 0.176 7.17 1.73
Jon Lester 0.394 3.71 0.147 4.88 1.50
Shane Loux 0.391 0.83 0.071 6.61 1.96
Justin Verlander 0.388 3.78 0.179 6.75 1.54
Aaron Cook 0.387 1.00 0.247 8.35 2.13
Matt Harrison 0.367 0.75 0.196 7.89 2.08
Vicente Padilla 0.366 1.88 0.189 8.27 1.84
Yusmeiro Petit 0.365 1.63 0.246 8.62 1.98
Javier Vazquez 0.362 4.86 0.097 2.63 1.21

These guys might be considered buy-low candidates, if they have high ERAs and strong peripherals.  Individual thoughts:

  • Wellemeyer leads baseball in hits allowed, but he's improved his control.
  • Nolasco leads baseball in earned runs.  His K rate is still fine, but he's lost his amazing control from last year.  I don't know if he's hiding an injury, but otherwise he looks like a nice buy low.  His owner might not be able to get past that 6.92 ERA.
  • Lester: walks down, Ks way up.  This is good.  He has a fluky-high 18.8% HR per flyball rate coupled with the .394 BABIP.  I would try to get him on the cheap.
  • Verlander: same story.  Go get him.


Full Story |  Comments (8) | Categories: BABIP, Anyone?

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