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What It Takes To Win: HR

Next up in our What It Takes To Win series, home runs.  We're trying to determine the stats you should strive for to achieve fourth place in each of the ten standard 5x5 categories.  If you get nine points per category, you'll end up with 90 and a good chance at taking the title.  I'll use rotisserie leagues that I consider standard - 12 teams, 5x5, 14 hitters, 9 pitchers, 3 bench spots, 2 DL spots.  I was in two such leagues in 2008.

In the first league, 284 HR were required for fourth place.  In the second, 296 did the trick.  Last year, the benchmark was 283 HR.  In a 2007 roto league of mine with similar settings (it had two extra bench spots) 274 HR were required for fourth place.  I'd be comfortable aiming for 285 HR.

Since we are talking about leagues with 14 active hitters, you should aim to get 20-21 HR out of each starting spot on average.  If you're going to employ a Juan Pierre type who's only good for one home run, you'll have to average around 22 HR for each remaining starting spot.  On the other hand if you have Adam Dunn's 40 HR you can aim for 19 HR per each remaining spot.

I'm currently projecting 87 players to hit at least 20 HR.  That includes 3 catchers, 24 first basemen, 5 second basemen, 5 shortstops, 19 third basemen, and 40 outfielders.  I have 32 players projected to hit at least 20 HR and reach our benchmark batting average of .283.

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