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Will KC Help Mike Jacobs?

The Royals acquired Mike Jacobs to provide power at first base in 2009.  Can Jacobs match his 32 HR from 2008?

For lefthanded hitters, Dolphins Stadium inflates homers by 5%.  Meanwhile, Kauffman Stadium deflates lefty homers by 14%.  So, the ballpark switch alone could cost Jacobs three bombs (all else being equal).

Of course, all else isn't equal.  Jacobs goes to the harder league, and he's 28 now.  Without engaging in any real math, I'm comfortable knocking him down to 25 HR.  Throw in the weak AVG and there's not much here.  Quietly, Josh Phelps might be able to do the same thing for the Giants if he gets the playing time.




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