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Number Of Pitches Thrown

Let's take a quick-and-dirty look at a simple stat, number of pitches thrown.  Your 2007 leaders:

  1. Carlos Zambrano (3689).
  2. Dan Haren (3635).
  3. Jake Peavy (3610).
  4. Scott Kazmir (3609).
  5. Aaron Harang (3590).
  6. C.C. Sabathia (3581).
  7. Gil Meche (3578).
  8. Daniel Cabrera (3563).
  9. Dontrelle Willis (3491).
  10. Jeff Francis (3485).

Interesting list - the majority of these pitchers have missed time due to injury in 2008.  Your '08 leaders:

  1. A.J. Burnett (3286).
  2. C.C. Sabathia (3267).
  3. Matt Cain (3215).
  4. Justin Verlander (3214).
  5. Gil Meche (3150).
  6. Tim Lincecum (3137).
  7. Johan Santana (3135).
  8. Roy Halladay (3130).
  9. Ervin Santana (3129).
  10. Cole Hamels (3095).

Sabathia and Meche have really tallied up the pitches, and C.C. has many more coming.  Sabathia's suitors both in real life and fantasy baseball should exercise caution.  He will be going in the second or third round and definitely carries risk.  It wouldn't be surprising to see a few more of these guys go down next year.


Full Story |  Comments (3) | Categories: Injuries

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Comments

I much prefer this to the innings pitched stat. What other factors can you use to determine injury risk? What about percentage of breaking balls/sliders, etc., or arm angle?

Maybe I'm overthinking this a bit, but it seems like there would be a formula for figuring this stuff out beyond just pitches thrown.

In any event, thanks for this info, Tim.

You could probably use Baseball Prospectus' Pitcher Abuse Points per start.

Poor Tim Lincecum. Between the arm-heavy mechanics and the high pitch count, how long 'til he goes under the knife?

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