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BABIP, Anyone?

It's pretty tough to maintain a BABIP below .280 year in, year out.  21 pitchers managed the feat in '07, but only five of them repeated in '08 (Shaun Marcum, Carlos Zambrano, Johan Santana, Jeremy Guthrie, and Oliver Perez).  Here's your BABIP kings for 2008:

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Justin Duchscherer 0.238 2.88 0.112 2.54 0.99
Tim Wakefield 0.240 1.85 0.157 3.76 1.19
Dave Bush 0.246 2.69 0.191 4.12 1.12
Shaun Marcum 0.247 2.53 0.178 3.60 1.17
Gavin Floyd 0.248 1.86 0.174 3.61 1.24
Armando Galarraga 0.248 2.12 0.162 3.17 1.19
Cole Hamels 0.252 3.91 0.155 3.13 1.03
Rich Harden 0.254 3.41 0.111 1.99 1.05
Jeremy Guthrie 0.260 2.09 0.144 3.57 1.22
Daisuke Matsuzaka 0.261 1.55 0.113 2.82 1.33
Scott Olsen 0.266 1.61 0.197 4.35 1.33
Adam Wainwright 0.266 3.24 0.155 3.04 1.10
Oliver Perez 0.268 1.74 0.158 3.90 1.35
Tim Hudson 0.268 2.13 0.126 3.17 1.16
Joe Saunders 0.269 1.68 0.139 3.67 1.25
Greg Smith 0.270 1.32 0.158 4.23 1.37
John Lackey 0.271 3.41 0.159 3.10 1.13
Ryan Dempster 0.272 2.32 0.107 2.95 1.19
Todd Wellemeyer 0.272 2.18 0.159 3.76 1.25
John Lannan 0.274 1.57 0.134 3.92 1.34
Erik Bedard 0.275 1.95 0.145 3.67 1.32
Johan Santana 0.276 3.31 0.142 2.71 1.15
John Maine 0.276 1.82 0.138 4.18 1.35
Hiroki Kuroda 0.276 2.65 0.106 3.87 1.19
Matt Garza 0.277 2.20 0.120 3.53 1.23
Collin Balester 0.278 1.68 0.172 4.75 1.37
Carlos Zambrano 0.278 1.87 0.127 3.53 1.30
Scott Kazmir 0.279 2.55 0.171 3.13 1.23
Ricky Nolasco 0.279 4.08 0.174 3.65 1.13
Kevin Slowey 0.279 5.89 0.178 3.70 1.08

Risky pitchers for 2009: Floyd, Galarraga, Olsen, Saunders, Smith, and Lannan.  These six are candidates to have significantly worse seasons.

On the flip side, the following pitchers all allowed more than a hit per inning due to high BABIPs:

NAME BABIP K/BB ISO ERA WHIP
Ian Snell 0.369 1.41 0.175 5.77 1.84
Clay Buchholz 0.360 1.76 0.164 6.75 1.76
Andrew Miller 0.359 1.66 0.131 5.58 1.64
Kevin Millwood 0.356 2.46 0.150 4.84 1.59
Livan Hernandez 0.354 1.86 0.164 5.48 1.63
Nate Robertson 0.349 1.76 0.214 6.36 1.69
Carlos Silva 0.345 2.03 0.183 6.53 1.60
Jo-Jo Reyes 0.343 1.55 0.165 5.49 1.63
Josh Johnson 0.341 2.80 0.096 3.25 1.34
Sidney Ponson 0.341 0.93 0.185 6.22 1.74
Clayton Kershaw 0.341 1.73 0.144 4.56 1.61
Jorge De La Rosa 0.339 2.14 0.152 5.23 1.49

Keep an eye on Millwood and Johnson.  Their reasonable ISOs show they truly just had more singles drop in than normal. Kershaw, Miller, Buchholz, Reyes, and de la Rosa will be intriguing if they can improve their control.


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