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Power Spikes and Outages

By Tim Dierkes [May 3, 2008 at 9:55am CST]

Let's take a look at the biggest chances in slugging percentage, comparing this year to last.  To make the sample a player needed at least 50 plate appearances this year and 300 last year.

Biggest gains:

NAME SLG 07 SLG 08 Diff
Rafael Furcal 0.355 0.612 0.257
Chase Utley 0.566 0.771 0.205
Pat Burrell 0.502 0.690 0.188
Nate McLouth 0.459 0.644 0.185
Josh Willingham 0.463 0.637 0.174
Conor Jackson 0.467 0.615 0.148
Miguel Tejada 0.442 0.590 0.148
Lance Berkman 0.510 0.657 0.147
Ryan Ludwick 0.479 0.625 0.146
Derrek Lee 0.513 0.653 0.140
Edwin Encarnacion 0.438 0.558 0.120
David DeJesus 0.372 0.479 0.107
Casey Kotchman 0.467 0.567 0.100
Stephen Drew 0.370 0.467 0.097
Mike Jacobs 0.458 0.548 0.090

DeJesus and Drew are two of the most intriguing to me, because I hadn't realized they've improved.  But DeJesus barely made the sample size cutoff.    Drew though...he didn't slug .467 in any month in '07.  This might be something.

These players have seen their SLGs fall off the most:

NAME SLG 07 SLG 08 Diff
David Ortiz 0.621 0.351 -0.270
Robinson Cano 0.488 0.236 -0.252
Alfonso Soriano 0.560 0.313 -0.247
Troy Tulowitzki 0.479 0.238 -0.241
Adam LaRoche 0.458 0.233 -0.225
Carlos Pena 0.627 0.404 -0.223
Kenji Johjima 0.433 0.213 -0.220
Ryan Howard 0.584 0.370 -0.214
Travis Buck 0.474 0.277 -0.197
Brad Hawpe 0.539 0.352 -0.187
Jim Edmonds 0.403 0.227 -0.176
Mike Lamb 0.453 0.277 -0.176
J.J. Hardy 0.463 0.293 -0.170
Adam Dunn 0.554 0.386 -0.168
Prince Fielder 0.618 0.450 -0.168
Maicer Izturis 0.405 0.239 -0.166
Khalil Greene 0.468 0.304 -0.164
Brad Wilkerson 0.467 0.304 -0.163
Akinori Iwamura 0.411 0.248 -0.163

Unless injured, I tend to expect most of these players to recover from here on out.  It's only been a month.  Dunn has 40 HRs four years running.  He probably has another 33 in him this year.  So should Fielder. 

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