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A Look At Dana Eveland

Oakland lefty Dana Eveland has allowed one run in 13.1 innings, along with 13 Ks.  It's about time we took a look.

Eveland, 24, came to the A's in the Dan Haren deal.  Before that he went from Milwaukee to Arizona in the Doug Davis trade.  He was awful in 64.1 career big league innings coming into this season; poor control and a flukey high hit rate did him in.  He did have a K/9 over 8.1 though.  Decent groundball rate in this limited appearances, though he hasn't shown that in his two starts this year.

Let's check out the projections:

  • Baseball HQ: 5.90 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 7.76 K/9
  • CHONE: 4.45 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 7.20 K/9
  • ZiPS: 4.50 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 6.41 K/9
  • PECOTA: 4.75 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 5.86 K/9

So even the most optimistic projections show an AL-only type pitcher at best.  The consensus is that he doesn't have the control yet.  With just two starts, we can't tell if he's found it.  For what it's worth, he posted a very strong 2.14 BB/9 in 21 spring innings.  With a control breakout it seems that Eveland falls short of a mixed league-worthy pitcher.

Scouting-wise, Baseball America profiled him in their '06 handbook.  They drew a David Wells comparison, noting a possible weight issue.  They had praise for his fastball command and his breaking stuff.  Back then he worked in the 88-90 mph range with the heater, not uncommon for a lefty.

Keep in mind that most hitters have never seen Eveland, and he's not any kind of dominant young stud.  You could add him in a mixed league, but it's risky because you won't be able to predict when hitters will start to catch up.  I'll start to consider Eveland "for real" if he has a BB/9 under 3.0 after ten starts.  Unfortunately by then he will probably be off the waiver wire.   




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