April 2008

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Matchups For Thursday

David DeJesus vs. Sidney Ponson: 10 for 17, HR
Jose Vidro vs. Paul Byrd: 8 for 14, 2 HR
Jose Lopez vs. Paul Byrd: 4 for 13, 2B, 2 HR
Jason Giambi vs. Nate Robertson: 7 for 13, 2B, HR
Pedro Feliz vs. Randy Wolf: 4 for 11, 3 HR

  • I might consider using Odalis Perez against the Bucs.
  • Adam Eaton vs. the Padres and Zach Duke vs. the Nationals are risky.  Sidney Ponson against the Royals, or anyone, is even moreso.


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Roundtable: 3 Trading Mistakes To Avoid

For this week's roundtable, the challenge was:

List three unique mistakes--that should be avoided--while approaching another owner about a trade.

Here is the link to read my answer as well as four others.


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Scherzermania

WEDNESDAY: Scherzer gets his chance - he starts Monday against the Phillies in place of Gonzalez.

TUESDAY: I know I said I leaned toward saving your #1 waiver claim for Clayton Kershaw rather than Max Scherzer.  I'm changing my stance on that, having watched Scherzer pitch in relief of Edgar Gonzalez tonight.  He's whiffed 7 in 4.1 perfect innings.  Wow.  It's not too late in Yahoo, if you were on the fence.

Nick Piecoro likes Scherzer's chances of supplanting Edgar Gonzalez as the fifth starter.  His role may be in question if Doug Davis returns, but you have to take that chance.


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Matchups For Wednesday

Here we go...couldn't find much in the way of interesting matchups for tomorrow.

Jeff Baker vs. Jonathan Sanchez: 3 for 3, 2 2B
Chris Snyder vs. Shawn Chacon: 4 for 6, 2B
Alfredo Amezaga vs. Chad Billingsley: 4 for 7
Ronny Cedeno vs. Jeff Suppan: 4 for 9, 2B, 3B
Jason Kendall vs. Ryan Dempster: 13 for 28, 2 2B
Jose Guillen vs. Kevin Millwood: 9 for 23, HR
John Buck vs. Kevin Millwood: 5 for 10, 2 2B

  • Jamie Moyer against the Padres is worth considering.
  • Jair Jurrjens against the Nats is a good start.
  • Kevin Millwood against the Royals works.
  • Nick Masset against the Twins...too risky.  Ditto Ubaldo Jimenez vs. the Giants.


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Carlos Quentin Off To Hot Start

25 year-old White Sox left fielder Carlos Quentin is off to a blazing start with a .312/.454/.623 line in 77 at-bats.  Roto-wise, that's .312-6-20-20-2.  Using a complicated projection method  (multiplying everything by six) we get a season line of .312-36-120-120-12.  Fantasy baseball gold!

Seriously though, is the kid for real?  Let's start with the batting average.  He has a respectable 84.4% contact rate and a fantastic 14.4% walk rate.  (And six HBPs to further boost that OBP).  Though he admittedly played in hitters' parks in the minors, he did hit .312 in 379 games.  He can probably hit .280-.290.

Does he have 30 HR power?  I'm thinking more like 22-25 but Baseball America did note above average power in their '06 handbook.  Doesn't hurt that his home ballpark inflates right-handed homers by 26%.  He's batted sixth and seventh, making 100 ribbies a long shot.  Think 85-90 though.  Quentin's not much of a base-stealing threat so be happy if he sniffs double digits.

All in all a quality roto pickup who could put up Jeff Francoeur-like numbers, maybe a few less RBIs. 


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Fantasy Mailbag, Verlander


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Matchups For Tuesday

Let's dig into the matchups for tomorrow.

Ramon Hernandez vs. Jason Hammel: 5 for 12, 3 2B, 3B
J.D. Drew vs. Roy Halladay: 7 for 16, HR
Jason Giambi vs. Kenny Rogers: 10 for 23, 2B, 4 HR
Geoff Jenkins vs. Greg Maddux: 23 for 54, 5 2B, HR
Dmitri Young vs. Tom Glavine: 10 for 26, 3 2B, HR
Corey Patterson vs. Joel Pineiro: 4 for 6, 2 2B, HR

  • Tom Glavine is worth using against the Nationals.
  • I expect the normally lousy KC offense to tee off on Jason Jennings.
  • Gavin Floyd can be used against the Twins (as long as Livan Hernandez doesn't pinch-hit - 3 for 3 with two doubles and a homer!).
  • Aaron Cook against the Giants is solid, though he's probably already owned.
  • Joe Saunders against Oakland is a reasonable spot-start.


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Thoughts on Scherzer

We wrote about Max Scherzer ten days ago, and spoke very highly of him.  He's been called up to the bigs, but will be used as a reliever for now.  Scherzer available in Yahoo at this moment, so there might be a waiver wire battle for his services (especially in keeper leagues).

Here is a look at Arizona's rotation:

  1. Brandon Webb - healthy ace.
  2. Dan Haren - healthy co-ace.
  3. Micah Owings - sprained ankle on Saturday; doesn't seem major.
  4. Randy Johnson - always shaky, but healthy currently.
  5. Edgar Gonzalez - easily replaced or moved to pen if need be.
  6. Doug Davis - hopes to return May 9th following thyroid cancer surgery.

So Scherzer doesn't have the obvious path to the bigs Johnny Cueto did.  But the last three starters listed all have concerns (of course, we wish Davis well). 

Do you use a #1 waiver claim on Scherzer?  I lean toward no, with thoughts of saving it for Clayton Kershaw.  Kershaw has a similar situation though - he'd have to get past Esteban Loaiza (not a problem), Hong-Chih Kuo (often injured), and Jason Schmidt (shakier than Randy Johnson but equally well-compensated).  Neither Kershaw nor Scherzer is a lock to get the rotation gig.  Without it, they don't have much value in non-keeper mixed roto leagues.  I wouldn't value them highly as relievers (unless Scherzer found himself closing). 

I'd save the claim for Kershaw as I see his path as slightly clearer.  And keep in mind that other dark horses could emerge like Nick Adenhart or Adam Miller.  That said, I wouldn't argue with you much if you did go for Scherzer.      


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Season-To-Date MVPs

Which players have had the most roto value at each position?  I used the player rater at ESPN to find out.

C - Brian McCann.  Gunning for his first 30 HR season; might end up a steal as a fifth-rounder.  Runners up: Ryan Doumit, Bengie Molina.

1B - Lance Berkman.  Could return to his ridiculous .310-40-130 level of '06.  Runners up: Derrek Lee, Conor Jackson.  Sidenote: I recently traded Jackson for Yovani Gallardo.  Good or bad?

2B - Chase Utley.  This looks like Ryne Sandberg's peak or something.  I have to admit I wasn't sold on him as a first rounder.  Oops.  Runners up: B.J. Upton, Ian Kinsler.

SS - Hanley Ramirez.  I also have to admit I favored Jose Reyes by a hair over Hanley.  Never again will I doubt Hanley's shoulder.  He looks like next year's #1 overall pick.  Runners up: Rafael Furcal, Miguel Tejada.  Sidenote: I did not expect this from Miggy.

3B - Chipper Jones.  Typical Chipper - awesome when healthy, draft at your own risk.  Runners up: Mark Reynolds, Aramis Ramirez

OF - Technically Berkman; otherwise Pat Burrell.  Streaky as hell, but maybe that next contract will keep him going all year long.  Runners up: Carl Crawford, Manny Ramirez, Matt Holliday.

SP - Cliff Lee.  Surprise of the year so far; I discussed him here.  Runners up: Brandon Webb, Ben Sheets, John Smoltz.  Bonus surprise starters: Micah Owings, Ervin Santana.

RP - Jonathan Papelbon.  And the ERA is actually a touch high.  Runners up: Jonathan Sanchez (qualifies at RP), Francisco Rodriguez, Joakim Soria.


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Matchups For Monday

Thanks to all who offered to help with the daily matchups.  I'm still debating how to handle it.  I may just do it myself when I can while keeping an eye on some automated ideas.  Anyway here are the matchups for Monday's games.

Orlando Cabrera vs. Daniel Cabrera: 7 for 15, 2 2B
Casey Blake vs. Mike Mussina: 6 for 15, 2 2B
Chris Gomez vs. Johan Santana: 8 for 14, 2B
Ryan Ludwick vs. Bronson Arroyo: 4 for 7, 2 2B, HR
Mike Sweeney vs. Jon Garland: 16 for 55, 3 2B, 5 HR
Bobby Crosby vs. Jon Garland: 8 for 18, 4 2B, HR
Frank Thomas vs. Jon Garland: 5 for 9, 2 2B, 2 HR

  • Franklin Morales faces the Giants; I'd probably start him
  • Despite facing the weak Oakland offense I wouldn't start Garland


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