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Free 2008 Fantasy Baseball Projections - Update
Free 2008 fantasy baseball projections at RotoAuthority.com - again with a fresh update. As always, I ask that you each bring me five new readers. Also I strongly encourage you to sign up for our RSS feed or to receive posts via email. Once again I've tweaked playing time for an update to the guide.
These dollar values apply to a 12-team, 5x5 mixed non-keeper league with 23-man active rosters and $260 budgets. Negative dollar values mean you should not draft those guys in such a league. If your league isn't of this type I can't help you with adjustments.
Use the filters in the spreadsheet to view by position. For example hit the drop-down in column J, select Custom, and then select greater than or equal to 15 to see only catchers with 15+ games played.
Note that my values place a premium on pitching and speed that you will not find elsewhere. I used methods from Art McGee's How To Value Players For Rotisserie Baseball
For example, I truly believe Jake Peavy can be the second-most valuable player in all of fantasy baseball in 2008. But since his average draft position is 20.1, picking him second would be dumb. Additionally, Jake has higher injury risk/volatility than a position player does. So don't build a pitching/speed team devoid of the other categories just because my system likes those types.
Download the latest projections here.
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Tim, does subscribing to the RSS feed or receiving posts via email net you any money?
Posted by: Jack R | March 18, 2008 at 02:49 AM
Not currently, but it probably will one day.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 18, 2008 at 09:33 AM
As someone who hears word on every little rumor tidbit, you certainly have more knowledge on this matter than I do, but do you really see Pierre and Ellsbury not getting enough AB's to have positive value? I just don't see the Dodgers shipping Pierre out of town or Torre giving more AB's to Ethier. In Boston, I'd have to think they'd say goodbye to Crisp and go with Ellsbury. I may very well be wrong, though.
Posted by: SabermetricsGuy | March 18, 2008 at 12:50 PM
Great stuff Tim, any reason your projections omitted Jerry Owens, hes a quality SB sleeper and I was curious to see what you project him at. Any reason he was omitted or just an oversight? Thanks!
Posted by: keeper3323 | March 18, 2008 at 02:20 PM
I know you get what you pay for, and Tim, I honestly do appreciate you providing the projections for free, but there's not nearly enough players for these to be useful for AL or NL only leagues.
I'm sure they are only intended to be for mixed leagues, but it seems like they're simply a copy of the ZIPS projections, scaled to the # of AB you're projecting, with a few tweaks. It's those tweaks that I am most interested in (eg. ZIPS originally had Brett Myers at 98 IP, which you nearly doubled), so it's frustrating that there aren't enough players to make them useful.
Just my 2 cents. Again, I know I have no right to complain when they're free. Thanks for provding them.
Posted by: bobo | March 18, 2008 at 03:38 PM
Yeah, I just don't care enough about AL/NL-only to cater to them. One thing I absolutely hated last year was having to project lame part-time players for those types of leagues. It just doesn't appeal to me. I feel much more free now that I don't "owe" any kind of customization with the projections.
Owens was omitted from the sheet by virtue of being worth less than -$10. I have him at .264-2-19-31-17 in 225 ABs.
My hunch is that Pierre does not get the ABs to be a useful pick anywhere near where you'd get him. Ellsbury could be a $15 player with 500 ABs. I think he'll get them but I can't change the projection pre-Crisp trade.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | March 18, 2008 at 03:56 PM
Tim, do you have any sort of a list of the players you updated? I averaged your projections with some other ones I have and am wondering if theres an easy way to see who I should update beside looking through all of my lists
Posted by: Heiserman | March 19, 2008 at 12:41 AM
Thanks for putting this together! I hope your rankings are accurate, because in my league I would up with your 2,3, 17,18 and 19th players (Cole Hamels fell to me at 47, and John Smoltz at 63). I understand that pitching and speed are valuable in roto, but my gut feeling is that your numbers take this a bit to extremes. Would you really rather have Felix Pie than Pat Burrel? If so, then maybe there's something wrong with roto, in that it isn't reflecting the value these players have to real baseball teams.
Posted by: Nathan | March 22, 2008 at 01:56 AM