February 2008

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Mailbag Questions?

I am going to be doing weekly fantasy baseball mailbags for The Hardball Times in the near future.  As RotoAuthority readers, y'all get first crack at submitting questions.  Send 'em to rotoauthority@gmail.com.  Please don't send questions specific to your own fantasy team; I can't answer those!


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2008 RotoAuthority Fantasy League

I've taken in all the suggestions, and have decided on how we're going to put together a competitive, entertaining 2008 RotoAuthority Fantasy League.

  • The draft will take place on Thursday March 13th at 7pm CST.  I've decided to do a standard-issue snake draft, as I want our league to be as standard as possible so as to entertain the most readers.  If Yahoo somehow allows drafts to be watched publicly we'll definitely do that.  Don't apply for the league if you can't make this time and date!
  • The buy-in for the league is $100.  This must be in my PayPal account by 4pm CST on Friday February 22nd.  If you make the cut but miss the payment deadline I'll move on to the next person.  Please don't send any money over until you get an email from me confirming that you're in.  Those in the league will decide how to divy up the $1200.   I realize this buy-in eliminates strong players who can't spare the cash, and I apologize for that.  I will create a separate thread for other RotoAuthority readers to use as a gathering place to create leagues.   
  • If you can handle the above and want in, make your case in the comments of this post.  Please don't send me email about it.  Do include your email address in your comment.  There are no other guidelines for making your case - just tell me why you deserve to play.  I will close this thread off at the end of Tuesday and then I'll pick the winners.
  • I love the suggestion of weekly updates on the league here at RotoAuthority, making it a very public competition that everyone can enjoy.
  • In the name of keeping the league elite and also giving new people a chance to play, the bottom four finishers in '08 will be booted out for the 2009 league.  Anyone finishing in the top eight has the option of keeping their spot for '09.  If I finish in the bottom four, I am going to break my rule and keep playing anyway! 
  • League specs: 5x5 rotiserrie style with AVG, HR, RBI, R, SB, ERA, WHIP, W, K, and SV.  12 teams.  Will be a daily league played on Yahoo.  Other details will be hammered out by league members.


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What It Takes To Win: Batting Average

Let's kick off the 2008 version of What It Takes To Win.  In this series, I examine my keeper league and determine the necessary thresholds to finish strong in each category.  I feel that my league is fairly standard: 23-man rosters, 12 teams, normal 5x5 categories.  I've got three years of data to work with, and my goal is to finish at least third in each category.  10 points times 10 categories equals 100 points, enough to win the league.

I have found a .288 team average to be a mark that is likely to earn a second or third place finish in the batting average category.

  • I see three catchers topping .288 in '08: Joe Mauer, Victor Martinez, and Brian McCann.   
  • I have eight first basemen who can manage the feat.
  • I also see eight second basemen likely to pull it off, with Howie Kendrick an interesting five-category sleeper.
  • Eight shortstops are at or above .288. 
  • This is getting odd...I have eight third basemen making the cut.
  • I see 17 outfielders cracking .288.  That's less than I would've guessed.  And of the 17, Ichiro, Willy Taveras, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Juan Pierre are not expected to reach double digits in home runs.  So taking one of those four means you need to compensate elsewhere in power.
  • How much would it hurt to own Adam Dunn, who is projected to hit .251?  Say everyone aside from Dunn is projected for 500 ABs and 144 hits, putting them all at .288.  Dunn would take your team average from .288 to .285.
  • Say you have Albert Pujols, projected to hit .327 in 553 ABs.  He takes your team average from .288 to .291.  I guess the point here is that at the extremes a single hitter can swing your average as much as three points.


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