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Fantasy Hotsheet

Let's take a look at how some of the latest baseball news affects fantasy players.

Jack Wilson tacked on 20 pounds this winter.  His slugging percentage dropped from a career high .459 in 2004 to his career level of .363 in 2005.  Even with the bulk, don't expect more than .270 and 10 HR from Wilson.  He wouldn't be on my radar unless I was in an NL-only league.

Roger Clemens will start his season in May, June, or July if at all.  I've been under this assumption since December, and my 144 inning projection of Clemens reflects that.  I expect a 2.98 ERA and 1.13 WHIP with that.  Clemens is worth about $10-11 if he hits my projection, right behind a full season of Jon Lieber.  It's a tricky situation - find out now how your league would handle his hiatus.  If you get a replacement during that time, the Rocket will still make a solid choice.

Jesus Colome wants a piece of the Devil Rays closer action, rescinding his request to be traded now that opportunity has come a'knockin'.  Chad Orvella is the clear frontrunner, and Colome joins Shinji Mori and Dan Miceli as his backups.  Nothing correlates with saves more than team wins, but occasionally a closer on a lousy team still gets 40 saves.  So keep an eye on this mess, as Orvella will be one of the last closers on the board.

Ivan Rodriguez has a better relationship with Jim Leyland than he did with Alan Trammell, and has a goal of catching 140 games.  You still shouldn't expect more than 520 ABs at the most.  Pudge remains my 6th ranked catcher, comfortable above Jason Kendall.

I'm worried about Jose Guillen, who is recovering from November shoulder surgery.  He might not manage 500 ABs or 20 HR if he misses all of April.  Guillen is a hacker whose power may suffer from the surgery, and I just don't have a good feeling about his 2006.  I plan on avoiding him in all formats. 

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