Noah's Lark: Lowry's August Adventure
Anyone notice that Noah Lowry is 4-0 with a 1.57 ERA in four August starts? Well, David Pinto noticed, but he notices lots of baseball things. Pinto mentions that Lowry will probably be in the running for pitcher of the month. Why is Lowry suddenly lights out?
For a pitcher like Lowry, the positive signs were out there. He struck out a solid 7 per nine in 92 innings last season. This year, he's bumped that mark up to 7.8 K/9. His WHIP is a tad high, around 1.30. He'll need to trim his hit total next year to improve on that. Lowry's ERA has improved each month this season.
Noah Lowry is only 24, and he's put up a 3.72 ERA over 259 career innings already. Pencil him in for 16 wins, a 3.40 ERA, and 180 Ks next year. He's a solid middle-of-the-rotation guy with plenty of upside.
According to Baseball Prospectus, Lowry is a similar player to the 1987 version of Doug Drabek. Drabek went 11-12 with a 3.88 ERA in '87. If you're a Lowry owner in a keeper league, you'll be pleased to know that Drabek averaged about 16 wins and a 2.90 ERA over the following five seasons.
Earlier this month, we pointed out the sleeper potential of both Lowry and another good strikeout artist, John Lackey. Look for a profile of Lackey in an upcoming post - he boasts such intriguing comparables as Jason Schmidt and Chris Carpenter.