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MLB Trade Rumors: Thoughts From Around the Web

One of The Roto Authority's most respected baseball websites is Baseball Prospectus.  Now you can try BP free for a week - but the $40 yearly subscription fee is money well spent.  Among their many gifted authors we are especially partial to Joe Sheehan and Will Carroll.  Today, Sheehan has some interesting commentary on the plausibility of the various A.J. Burnett trades being bandied about. 

His dismay at trading Bronson Arroyo is similar to our feelings here at The Roto Authority.  These two pitchers are very comparable and Arroyo has several years before free agency.  Sheehan also had this to say, which I thought was worth quoting:

In general, A.J. Burnett has come to be quite overrated on the trade market this summer. He's a good starter, a #2 in many rotations, but he's not a difference-maker or a star, and he's being priced as such. He's the pitcher on the market most likely to be part of a trade that we're still talking about 20 years from now. 

This is an excellent point - trading the farm for an injury-prone #2 starter to give your team a barely noticeable lift can have devastating long-term effects.  It will be interesting to revisit this year's trades in five years and see which superstar was once traded for a Mark Redman or a Danys Baez

In addition, here's an interesting conceptual trade quote from Matthew Cerrone over at MetsBlog:

...teams get more value on positional players in the off-season when a larger market can be created.

Cerrone is echoing something preached by the Brewers, and it's a concept I never really considered before.  Pitching is the hot commodity at the deadline, and teams have been extracting tons of value through the years for mediocre starting pitchers on July 31st.  The Zambrano-Kazmir deal is everyone's favorite example. 

But it is a valid point that the Reds should shy away from trading Adam Dunn until the offseason, when some team decides they must have a power-hitting outfielder.  Apparently the Brewers subscribe to this strategy and seem to have applied it when they swiped Carlos Lee from the speed-coveting White Sox for the far less valuable Scott Podsednik.



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